Twins vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 31

Updated Jul. 31, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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Willi Castro and the Minnesota Twins will look to beat Luis Severino, the New York Mets' starting pitcher, on Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET. The favored Twins have -121 moneyline odds against the underdog Mets, who are listed at +102. Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the game has been set at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Twins vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Minnesota Twins and the New York Mets on Tuesday, July 30.

Twins vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, July 31, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Twins vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Twins 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 53%, Mets 47%

Twins vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Twins have been favorites in 71 games this season and won 44 (62%) of those contests.
• Minnesota has entered 62 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 37-25 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Twins.
• The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 44 games this year and have walked away with the win 21 times (47.7%) in those games.
• This year, New York has won 16 of 33 games when listed as at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

MIN 8 · NYM 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Minnesota Twins

MIN

-1.5

-122

O 8.5

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

+102

U 8.5

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have a 2-3 record from the five games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Twins combined with their opponents to go over the total seven times.
• The Twins' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Carlos Santana has 20 doubles, 14 home runs and 38 walks while hitting .243.
• Including all MLB hitters, Santana ranks 91st in batting average, 63rd in on-base percentage, and 68th in slugging.
• Santana takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with an RBI.
• Willi Castro is batting .259 to pace his team.
• Castro is 185th in home runs and 164th in RBI in the bigs.
• Jose Miranda is hitting .319 with 21 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 14 walks.
• Ryan Jeffers has put his power on display as he leads his team with 15 home runs and 49 runs batted in.
• Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .118 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have played as underdogs three times over their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Mets have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor paces the Mets with 22 long balls.
• Lindor is 15th in home runs and 26th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Pete Alonso's 22 home runs are a team-high total.
• Alonso is 15th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 39th in RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has racked up a team-best 65 runs batted in.
• Jesse Winker leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .259.

Mets Team Props

Twins vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Minnesota Twins and the New York Mets on Tuesday, July 30.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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