Twins vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 8

Twins vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 8

Updated Sep. 8, 2023 7:01 p.m. ET

Kodai Senga gets the nod on the mound for the New York Mets looking to shut down Royce Lewis and the Minnesota Twins on Friday at 8:10 PM ET. The Twins are listed as -146 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Mets (+124). Minnesota (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. An 8.5-run total has been listed in this contest.

The Minnesota Twins will give the start to Dallas Keuchel (1-1, 5.06 ERA), who is looking for win No. 2 on the season, and the Mets will counter with Senga (10-7, 3.08 ERA).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, September 8, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
  • Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • How to Watch on TV: BSN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins -146 +124 8.5 -120 +100 -1.5 +140 -165

Twins vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 6, Mets 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Twins 54%, Mets 46%

Twins vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Twins have won 55, or 58.5%, of the 94 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Minnesota has a record of 27-24 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -146 on the moneyline.
  • The Twins have a 59.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Mets have come away with 17 wins in the 57 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • New York has a win-loss record of 4-15 when favored by +124 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 44.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Twins' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.9
HR 18
ERA 4.12
K/9 7.2

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Twins Player Insights

  • Carlos Correa leads the Twins in runs batted in (62) and has put up a team-high batting average of .229.
  • Among all MLB batters, Correa is 127th in batting average, 112th in on-base percentage, and 113th in slugging.
  • Max Kepler has hit 21 home runs to lead his team.
  • Donovan Solano has 25 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 37 walks while hitting .294.
  • Solano is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .409 with a double, a triple, a home run and six RBI.
  • Willi Castro has 16 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 26 walks while batting .247.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Max Kepler 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+145)
Royce Lewis 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+175)
Carlos Correa 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+195)
Matt Wallner 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+220)
Alex Kirilloff 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+215)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
  • The Mets have eight wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 19
ERA 3.70
K/9 9.6

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor is batting .251 with 30 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 55 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .332.
  • In all of the majors, Lindor ranks 26th in homers and 28th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 42 home runs and 102 RBI.
  • Alonso is third in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .265 with 23 doubles, four triples, 22 home runs and 67 walks.
  • Jeff McNeil leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .266.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+145)
Brandon Nimmo 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+205)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+130)
Jeff McNeil 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+205)
Tim Locastro 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+265)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Twins vs Mets!

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