Twins vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 9

Twins vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 9

Updated Sep. 9, 2023 2:06 p.m. ET

Carlos Correa and the Minnesota Twins will meet Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets on Saturday at Target Field, at 2:10 PM ET. The Twins are the favorite in this one, at -148, while the underdog Mets have +126 odds to win. Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +138 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for this game (with -108 odds on the over and -112 odds on the under).

The Minnesota Twins will hand the ball to Kenta Maeda (3-7, 4.73 ERA), who is looking for win No. 4 on the season, and the Mets will counter with David Peterson (3-7, 5.40 ERA).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
  • Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • How to Watch on TV: BSN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins -148 +126 9 -108 -112 -1.5 +138 -163

Twins vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Twins 55%, Mets 45%

Twins vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Twins have won 55, or 58.5%, of the 94 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Minnesota has entered 51 games this season favored by -148 or more and is 27-24 in those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 59.7% chance to win.
  • The Mets have been victorious in 17, or 29.8%, of the 57 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, New York has won four of 19 games when listed as at least +126 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 44.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and finished 3-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Twins combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
  • The Twins have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.7
HR 18
ERA 4.00
K/9 7.4

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Twins Player Insights

  • Correa comes into Saturday's game as the Twins top run producer, delivering 63 RBI while crushing 18 long balls in 2023. His .232 average is also best on the squad.
  • Correa ranks 88th in homers and 85th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Max Kepler has hit 21 home runs to pace his team.
  • Donovan Solano is batting .294 with 25 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 37 walks.
  • Solano has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .409 with a double, a triple, a home run and six RBI.
  • Willi Castro is hitting .247 with 16 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 27 walks.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jorge Polanco 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+160)
Dónovan Solano 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+185)
Carlos Correa 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+145)
Royce Lewis 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+155)
Kyle Farmer 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+200)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 3-3 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Mets have eight wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 18
ERA 3.74
K/9 9.7

Mets Player Insights

  • Lindor has 31 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 55 walks while batting .251.
  • Lindor's home run total puts him 27th in the big leagues, and he ranks 24th in RBI.
  • Lindor carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 42 home runs and 102 runs batted in.
  • Among all major league batters, Alonso is third in homers and second in RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo has 23 doubles, four triples, 22 home runs and 67 walks while hitting .263.
  • Jeff McNeil paces the Mets with a .266 batting average.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jeff McNeil 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+215)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+145)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+225)
Omar Narváez 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+290)
Rafael Ortega 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+300)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Twins vs Mets!

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