Twins vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 8:01 p.m. ET

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Pablo Lopez starts for the Minnesota Twins on Friday at Target Field against Anthony Santander and the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is at 8:10 p.m. ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Orioles are listed as +126 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Twins (-149). Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +141 odds). The contest's total has been set at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Twins vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 8:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: BSN

Twins vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Orioles 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, Orioles 48%

Twins vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• This season, the Twins have been favored 110 times and won 63, or 57.3%, of those games.
• Minnesota is 39-20 this season when entering a game favored by -149 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 59.8%.
• The Orioles have been victorious in 20, or 52.6%, of the 38 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Baltimore has a mark of 3-1 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +126 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 44.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

BAL 7 · MIN 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Baltimore Orioles

BAL

+1.5

+125

O 8

Minnesota Twins

MIN

-1.5

-150

U 8

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 2-6 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Twins have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Carlos Santana leads the Twins in home runs (22) and runs batted in (68).
• Santana's home runs rank him 54th in the majors, and he ranks 77th in RBI.
• Santana carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .118 with a double, four walks and three RBI.
• Willi Castro has a club-high .248 batting average.
• Castro is 175th in homers in baseball, and 105th in RBI.
• Carlos Correa has 20 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 39 walks while batting .313.
• Correa has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
• Ryan Jeffers is batting .225 with 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 32 walks.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Orioles have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Gunnar Henderson paces the Orioles with a .284 batting average.
• Henderson's home run total puts him ninth in the majors, and he is 24th in RBI.
• Santander been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 44 home runs and 101 RBI.
• Santander ranks third in homers and 14th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Adley Rutschman is batting .250 with 20 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 58 walks.
• Ryan O'Hearn is hitting .259 with 21 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 45 walks.

Orioles Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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