Twins vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 3:01 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Willi Castro and the Minnesota Twins square off against Colton Cowser and the Baltimore Orioles on Friday at 8:10 p.m. ET, in the first of a three-game series at Target Field. The Twins are listed as -172 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Orioles (+144). Minnesota (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. An 8.5-run total is set for this game.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Minnesota Twins.

Twins vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 8:10 p.m. ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: BSN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-172	+144	8.5	-115	-105	-1.5	+117	-139

Twins vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Orioles 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, Orioles 48%

Twins vs. Orioles Betting Insights

This season, the Twins have been favored 110 times and won 63, or 57.3%, of those games.
Minnesota is 30-8 this season when entering a game favored by -172 or more on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 63.2% chance to win.
The Orioles have been victorious in 20, or 52.6%, of the 38 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Baltimore has played as an underdog of +144 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins have a 2-6 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
The Twins' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.6
HR	3
ERA	3.92
K/9	11.8

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Santana paces the Twins in home runs (22) and runs batted in (68).
Of all batters in the majors, Santana's home run total ranks him 54th, and his RBI tally puts him 77th.
Santana carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .118 with a double, four walks and three RBI.
Castro has a club-leading .248 batting average.
Castro is 175th in home runs and 105th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
Carlos Correa is hitting .313 with 20 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 39 walks.
Correa has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
Ryan Jeffers has 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 32 walks while batting .225.

Learn more about this Twins vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Orioles are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	11
ERA	5.06
K/9	9.9

Orioles Player Insights

Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with a .284 batting average.
Henderson's home run total places him ninth in the majors, and he ranks 24th in RBI.
Anthony Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 44 home runs and 101 runs batted in.
Santander is third in homers and 14th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
Adley Rutschman is hitting .250 with 20 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 58 walks.
Ryan O'Hearn is batting .259 with 21 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 45 walks.