Twins vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 11:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Anthony Santander and the Baltimore Orioles will hit the field on Saturday at Target Field against Zebby Matthews, who starts for the Minnesota Twins. First pitch is at 7:15 p.m. ET. The Twins are favored in this one, at -148, while the underdog Orioles have +125 odds to win. Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for this contest (with -112 odds on the over and -108 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Minnesota Twins.

Twins vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 7:15 p.m. ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: FOX

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-148	+125	8	-112	-108	-1.5	+142	-169

Twins vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 6, Orioles 5
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, Orioles 48%

Twins vs. Orioles Betting Insights

This season, the Twins have won 63 out of the 110 games, or 57.3%, in which they've been favored.
Minnesota is 39-21 this season when entering a game favored by -148 or more on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 59.7% chance of a victory for the Twins.
The Orioles have won in 20, or 52.6%, of the 38 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, Baltimore has won three of four games when listed as at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins were favored on the moneyline in eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-6 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
The Twins' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.6
HR	3
ERA	3.92
K/9	11.8

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Santana paces the Twins with 22 home runs and 68 runs batted in.
Santana's home runs rank him 55th in the majors, and he is 77th in RBI.
Santana has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .118 with a double, four walks and three RBI.
Willi Castro's .248 batting average paces his team.
Castro ranks 175th in home runs in baseball, and 105th in RBI.
Carlos Correa is hitting .313 with 20 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 39 walks.
Correa is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
Ryan Jeffers has 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .225.

Learn more about this Twins vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
The Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Orioles have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	11
ERA	5.06
K/9	9.9

Orioles Player Insights

Gunnar Henderson leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .284.
In all of the big leagues, Henderson is ninth in home runs and 24th in RBI.
Santander has hit 44 home runs with 101 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
Among all major league hitters, Santander is third in homers and 14th in RBI.
Adley Rutschman is batting .250 with 20 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 58 walks.
Ryan O'Hearn is batting .259 with 21 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 45 walks.