Twins vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2024 3:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Baltimore Orioles and Gunnar Henderson hit the field at Target Field against Byron Buxton and the Minnesota Twins on Sunday. The Twins are the favorite in this one, at -132, while the underdog Orioles have +112 odds to win. Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). An 8-run total has been listed for this game.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Orioles vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and Minnesota Twins.

Twins vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:10 p.m. ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: MASN2

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-132	+112	8	-111	-109	-1.5	+158	-190

Twins vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Orioles 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 51%, Orioles 49%

Twins vs. Orioles Betting Insights

The Twins have won 63, or 56.2%, of the 112 games they've played as favorites this season.
Minnesota has a record of 43-30, a 58.9% win rate, when favored by -132 or more by bookmakers this season.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Twins.
The Orioles have come away with 22 wins in the 40 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Baltimore has been victorious eight times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 47.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins were the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-7 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
The Twins have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	3.3
HR	3
ERA	4.92
K/9	12.2

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Santana has gone yard 22 times in the 2024 campaign while driving in 70 runs, both totals that lead the Twins.
Santana ranks 56th in homers and 74th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Santana has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with a double, five walks and five RBI.
Willi Castro is batting .247 to lead his team.
Castro is 177th in homers and 107th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Carlos Correa is batting .310 with 20 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 40 walks.
Ryan Jeffers has 22 doubles, 21 home runs and 32 walks while batting .226.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Brooks Lee	0.5 (-210)	1.5 (+135)	-	0.5 (+170)
Royce Lewis	0.5 (-235)	1.5 (+120)	-	0.5 (+135)
Ryan Jeffers	0.5 (-210)	1.5 (+145)	-	0.5 (+170)
Willi Castro	0.5 (-190)	1.5 (+135)	-	0.5 (+195)
Byron Buxton	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (-105)	-	0.5 (+120)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 4-1.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Orioles have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	15
ERA	4.00
K/9	8.5

Orioles Player Insights

Henderson leads the Orioles with a team-leading batting average of .282.
Among all hitters in the majors, Henderson is ninth in homers and 22nd in RBI.
Anthony Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 44 home runs and 102 RBI.
Santander is currently third in homers and 12th in RBI in the major leagues.
Adley Rutschman has 21 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 58 walks while batting .252.
Ryan O'Hearn is hitting .261 with 21 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 45 walks.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Colton Cowser	0.5 (-195)	1.5 (+120)	-	0.5 (+155)
Jordan Westburg	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-110)	-	0.5 (+155)
Gunnar Henderson	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (-120)	-	0.5 (+160)
Adley Rutschman	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+115)	-	0.5 (+150)
Ryan Mountcastle	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (+100)	-	0.5 (+155)