Twins vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Twins vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2024 6:23 a.m. ET

Bailey Ober and Albert Suarez are the projected starters when the Minnesota Twins and Baltimore Orioles square off on Sunday at Target Field. The Twins are -171 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Orioles (+144). Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 7.5-run over/under has been set for this game.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Orioles vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and Minnesota Twins.
ADVERTISEMENT

Twins vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • How to Watch on TV: MASN2
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins -171 +144 7.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +129 -154

Twins vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Orioles 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Twins 51%, Orioles 49%

Twins vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Twins have won 63, or 56.2%, of the 112 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Minnesota has a record of 30-9, a 76.9% win rate, when favored by -171 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 63.1% chance to win.
  • The Orioles have won in 22, or 55%, of the 40 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Baltimore has played as an underdog of +144 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 41% chance of walking away with the win.
Sun 7:10 PM
MASN2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Minnesota Twins
MIN

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins have a 2-7 record over the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Twins have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 3
ERA 4.92
K/9 12.2

Twins Player Insights

  • The Twins' best power option comes in the form of Carlos Santana and his 22-homer 70-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Santana is 56th in home runs and 74th in RBI.
  • Santana has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with a double, five walks and five RBI.
  • Willi Castro has a club-high .247 batting average.
  • Castro ranks 177th in homers and 107th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Carlos Correa has 20 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 40 walks while batting .310.
  • Ryan Jeffers is batting .226 with 22 doubles, 21 home runs and 32 walks.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+170)
Royce Lewis 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+130)
Willi Castro 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+195)
Byron Buxton 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+115)
Carlos Correa 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 4-1.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
  • The Orioles have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 15
ERA 4.00
K/9 8.5

Orioles Player Insights

  • Gunnar Henderson leads the team in batting average with a mark of .282.
  • Henderson's home run total puts him ninth in the big leagues, and he ranks 22nd in RBI.
  • Anthony Santander has hit 44 home runs with 102 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
  • Santander is third among all batters in MLB in homers, and 12th in RBI.
  • Adley Rutschman is hitting .252 with 21 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 58 walks.
  • Ryan O'Hearn has 21 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 45 walks while batting .261.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jordan Westburg 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+160)
Gunnar Henderson 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (-115) - 0.5 (+150)
Adley Rutschman 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+190)
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+185)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+130)

Orioles vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and Minnesota Twins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
share