Twins vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 12

Updated Aug. 12, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Taijuan Walker will try to shut down Carlos Correa and the Minnesota Twins when they square off against his Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday at 6:05 PM ET. The Phillies are +103 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Twins (-122). Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for this game.

The Minnesota Twins will hand the ball to Pablo Lopez (7-6, 3.81 ERA), who is looking for win No. 8 on the season, and the Phillies will counter with Walker (13-4, 4.05 ERA).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 12, 2023 at 6:05 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-122	+103	9	-107	-113	-1.5	+134	-158

Twins vs. Phillies Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Twins 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 55%, Phillies 45%

Twins vs. Phillies Betting Insights

The Twins have entered the game as favorites 79 times this season and won 46, or 58.2%, of those games.
This season Minnesota has won 42 of its 70 games, or 60%, when favored by at least -122 on the moneyline.
The Twins have a 55% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Phillies have been victorious in 17, or 45.9%, of the 37 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Philadelphia has been victorious 13 times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or longer on the moneyline.
The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins have a 4-4 record from the eight games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Twins' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	18
ERA	4.98
K/9	9.5

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Twins Player Insights

Correa paces the Twins with 53 runs batted in while accumulating a team-high batting average of .229.
Correa's home runs put him 101st in MLB, and he ranks 76th in RBI.
Correa carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .257 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and eight RBI.
Max Kepler's 19 home runs pace his team.
Willi Castro is hitting .241 with 15 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 24 walks.
Donovan Solano has 21 doubles, four home runs and 34 walks while hitting .278.
Solano has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .462 with a double and a walk.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Carlos Correa	-	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+160)
Jorge Polanco	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+165)
Willi Castro	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+195)
Max Kepler	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+145)
Ryan Jeffers	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, oddsmakers have not installed the Phillies as underdogs once.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents are 6-3-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
Over their last 10 games, the Phillies are 7-3-0 against the spread.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	7.2
HR	23
ERA	3.72
K/9	8.1

Phillies Player Insights

Bryson Stott leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .302.
In all of the big leagues, Stott is 139th in homers and 108th in RBI.
Alec Bohm has driven in the most runs for the Phillies with 74 runs batted in.
Among all major league hitters, Bohm ranks 126th in home runs and 16th in RBI.
Kyle Schwarber has 30 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
Nicholas Castellanos is batting .280 with 27 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 26 walks.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
J.T. Realmuto	0.5 (-189)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+165)
Bryce Harper	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+160)
Trea Turner	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)
Kyle Schwarber	0.5 (-175)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+280)	0.5 (+175)
Alec Bohm	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+245)

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