Twins vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 18

Updated Aug. 18, 2023 8:10 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Carlos Correa and the Minnesota Twins will meet Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday at Target Field, at 8:10 PM ET. The Twins are -175 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Pirates (+148). Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +120 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for this game (with -108 odds to hit the over and -112 odds to go under).

The Twins will give the ball to Pablo Lopez (8-6) versus the Pirates and Andre Jackson.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 18, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: BSN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-175	+148	8.5	-108	-112	-1.5	+120	-142

Twins vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 56%, Pirates 44%

Twins vs. Pirates Betting Insights

This season, the Twins have been favored 82 times and won 48, or 58.5%, of those games.
Minnesota has a record of 12-7, a 63.2% win rate, when favored by -175 or more by bookmakers this season.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.6% chance of a victory for the Twins.
The Pirates have been victorious in 40, or 41.7%, of the 96 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This year, Pittsburgh has won 14 of 27 games when listed as at least +148 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 40.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins have a 3-4 record across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Twins' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	16
ERA	4.81
K/9	9.6

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Twins Player Insights

Correa comes into Friday's game hitting .231 with 54 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Twins. He has also launched 15 home runs in 2023.
Correa is 92nd in home runs and 84th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
Correa has collected a hit in nine games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .324 with two doubles, three home runs, four walks and nine RBI.
Max Kepler has hit 20 home runs to lead his team.
Kepler heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a double, two home runs, three walks and three RBI.
Donovan Solano has 22 doubles, four home runs and 34 walks while batting .279.
Edouard Julien is hitting .287 with 11 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 33 walks.
Julien is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with three walks and two RBI.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Carlos Correa	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+145)
Jorge Polanco	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+140)
Max Kepler	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+135)
Royce Lewis	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+195)
Christian Vázquez	0.5 (-204)	0.5 (-204)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+210)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 8-2-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Pirates are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	13
ERA	5.76
K/9	9.5

Pirates Player Insights

Reynolds leads the Pirates with 59 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .266.
Reynolds' home run total puts him 58th in the big leagues, and he ranks 64th in RBI.
Andrew McCutchen is hitting .251 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 68 walks.
McCutchen ranks 174th in homers and 217th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Ke'Bryan Hayes is hitting .261 with 19 doubles, six triples, eight home runs and 19 walks.
Jack Suwinski has swatted a team-leading 21 long balls.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Bryan Reynolds	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+195)
Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+180)
Alfonso Rivas	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+320)
Jack Suwinski	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+160)
Liover Peguero	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+300)

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