Twins vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 18

Twins vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 18

Updated Aug. 18, 2023 8:10 p.m. ET

Carlos Correa and the Minnesota Twins will meet Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday at Target Field, at 8:10 PM ET. The Twins are -175 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Pirates (+148). Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +120 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for this game (with -108 odds to hit the over and -112 odds to go under).

The Twins will give the ball to Pablo Lopez (8-6) versus the Pirates and Andre Jackson.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, August 18, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
  • Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • How to Watch on TV: BSN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins -175 +148 8.5 -108 -112 -1.5 +120 -142

Twins vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Twins 56%, Pirates 44%

Twins vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • This season, the Twins have been favored 82 times and won 48, or 58.5%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has a record of 12-7, a 63.2% win rate, when favored by -175 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.6% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • The Pirates have been victorious in 40, or 41.7%, of the 96 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Pittsburgh has won 14 of 27 games when listed as at least +148 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 40.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins have a 3-4 record across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Twins' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 16
ERA 4.81
K/9 9.6

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Twins Player Insights

  • Correa comes into Friday's game hitting .231 with 54 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Twins. He has also launched 15 home runs in 2023.
  • Correa is 92nd in home runs and 84th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Correa has collected a hit in nine games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .324 with two doubles, three home runs, four walks and nine RBI.
  • Max Kepler has hit 20 home runs to lead his team.
  • Kepler heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a double, two home runs, three walks and three RBI.
  • Donovan Solano has 22 doubles, four home runs and 34 walks while batting .279.
  • Edouard Julien is hitting .287 with 11 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Julien is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with three walks and two RBI.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Carlos Correa 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+145)
Jorge Polanco 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+140)
Max Kepler 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+135)
Royce Lewis 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+195)
Christian Vázquez 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+210)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 8-2-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Pirates are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 13
ERA 5.76
K/9 9.5

Pirates Player Insights

  • Reynolds leads the Pirates with 59 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .266.
  • Reynolds' home run total puts him 58th in the big leagues, and he ranks 64th in RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen is hitting .251 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 68 walks.
  • McCutchen ranks 174th in homers and 217th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes is hitting .261 with 19 doubles, six triples, eight home runs and 19 walks.
  • Jack Suwinski has swatted a team-leading 21 long balls.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+195)
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+180)
Alfonso Rivas 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+320)
Jack Suwinski 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+160)
Liover Peguero 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+300)

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