Twins vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 19

Updated Aug. 19, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Max Kepler and the Minnesota Twins hit the field against Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates at Target Field on Saturday, at 7:10 PM ET. The Twins are listed as -177 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Pirates (+150). Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +118 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for the game (with -114 odds to go over and -106 odds to go under).

The Twins will start Sonny Gray (6-5) versus the Pirates and Mitch Keller (9-8).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 19, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: BSN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-177	+150	8.5	-114	-106	-1.5	+118	-140

Twins vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 57%, Pirates 43%

Twins vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Twins have won 49, or 59%, of the 83 games they've played as favorites this season.
Minnesota has a record of 13-7, a 65% win rate, when favored by -177 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 63.9%.
The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 97 games this year and have walked away with the win 40 times (41.2%) in those games.
This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 14 times in 28 chances when named as an underdog of at least +150 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 40% chance of walking away with the win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins were favored on the moneyline for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 4-4 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Twins have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	15
ERA	4.60
K/9	10.5

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Twins Player Insights

Carlos Correa leads the Twins in runs batted in (54) and has racked up a team-high batting average of .230.
Of all batters in the majors, Correa is 93rd in homers and 86th in RBI.
Kepler's 20 home runs pace his team.
Kepler has three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
Donovan Solano is batting .282 with 22 doubles, four home runs and 34 walks.
Edouard Julien is hitting .284 with 11 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 34 walks.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Carlos Correa	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+165)
Royce Lewis	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+175)
Max Kepler	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+145)
Jorge Polanco	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+180)
Christian Vázquez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+170)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+230)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 2-5.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Pirates have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	12
ERA	5.83
K/9	10.1

Pirates Player Insights

Reynolds leads the Pirates with 60 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .270.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Reynolds' home run total is 59th and his RBI tally ranks 62nd.
Reynolds carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .292 with a triple, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.
Andrew McCutchen has 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 68 walks while batting .251.
McCutchen is currently 173rd in home runs and 219th in RBI in the major leagues.
Ke'Bryan Hayes has 19 doubles, six triples, eight home runs and 20 walks while batting .258.
Jack Suwinski paces the Pirates with 21 home runs.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Andrew McCutchen	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+170)
Ji-Hwan Bae	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+260)
Ke'Bryan Hayes	1.5 (+210)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+145)
Bryan Reynolds	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+170)
Joshua Palacios	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+170)

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