Twins vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 7

Updated Jun. 7, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Trevor Larnach and the Minnesota Twins will square off against Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in the first of a three-game series, Friday at 6:40 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Twins as -129 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +109 moneyline odds to win. Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup is set at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Twins vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, June 7, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-129	+109	8	-110	-110	-1.5	+133	-157

Twins vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Twins 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 51%, Pirates 49%

Twins vs. Pirates Betting Insights

This season, the Twins have been favored 36 times and won 23, or 63.9%, of those games.
Minnesota has a record of 14-9 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -129 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Twins.
The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 38 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (50%) in those games.
This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 13 times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins went 2-1 across the three games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Twins combined with their opponents to go over the run total four times.
The Twins' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	13
ERA	4.92
K/9	8

Twins Player Insights

The Twins' best power option comes in the form of Ryan Jeffers and his 12-dinger 36-RBI season, both team highs.
In all of Major League Baseball, Jeffers ranks 17th in homers and 29th in RBI.
Carlos Santana is batting .222 with seven doubles, nine home runs and 20 walks.
Santana is 48th in homers and 97th in RBI on the year.
Santana has three straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .375 with a double, two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
Willi Castro has a team-high batting average of .254.
Carlos Correa is batting .253 with 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 18 walks.

Learn more about this Twins vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Pirates have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	7
ERA	3.81
K/9	8.8

Pirates Player Insights

Reynolds leads the Pirates in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (34).
Reynolds' home run total puts him 56th in MLB, and he is 38th in RBI.
Reynolds carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with a home run, a walk and four RBI.
Connor Joe is batting .270 to lead the lineup.
Joe ranks 102nd in home runs and 110th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Andrew McCutchen has eight home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
Oneil Cruz has swatted a team-leading eight long balls.