Twins vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Twins vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Updated Sep. 4, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Trevor Larnach and the Minnesota Twins will take on Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field in the third of a four-game series, Wednesday at 6:50 p.m. ET. The favored Twins have -122 moneyline odds against the underdog Rays, who are listed at +102. Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8-run over/under is listed in the contest.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Twins vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the Minnesota Twins and the Tampa Bay Rays!
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Twins vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 4, 2024 at 6:50 p.m. ET
  • Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: BSSUN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins -122 +102 8 -102 -118 -1.5 +141 -168

Twins vs. Rays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Rays 5, Twins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Twins 50%, Rays 50%

Twins vs. Rays Betting Insights

  • The Twins have entered the game as favorites 93 times this season and won 57, or 61.3%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has a record of 46-29, a 61.3% win rate, when favored by -122 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 55% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • The Rays have been victorious in 31, or 44.9%, of the 69 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Tampa Bay has a mark of 17-27 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
FINAL
MIN 4 · TB 9
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Tampa Bay Rays
TB

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
  • The Twins' ATS record is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 10
ERA 4.70
K/9 9.8

Twins Player Insights

  • Carlos Santana is hitting .238 with 24 doubles, 19 home runs and 53 walks.
  • Santana is 64th in home runs and 86th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Willi Castro's .251 batting average is a team-high mark.
  • Castro ranks 164th in home runs in baseball, and 115th in RBI.
  • Jose Miranda is batting .299 with 27 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 18 walks.
  • Ryan Jeffers has hit 20 home runs with 59 RBI. Both pace his team.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jose Miranda 0.5 () 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+145)
Royce Lewis 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+170)
Willi Castro 0.5 (-245) 1.5 () - 0.5 (+230)
Carlos Santana 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-190) - 0.5 (+190)
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 (-185) 0.5 () - 0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rays have a record of 2-5.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Rays and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Rays are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 10
ERA 4.50
K/9 8.7

Rays Player Insights

  • Diaz has recorded a team-best batting average of .274 while pacing the Rays in runs batted in with a mark of 59.
  • Diaz is 146th in home runs and 80th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Christopher Morel has hit a team-best 21 home runs.
  • Morel is 41st in homers and 94th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Brandon Lowe is hitting .244 with 19 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Jose Caballero is hitting .227 with 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 23 walks.

Rays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Brandon Lowe 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+170)
Josh Lowe 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+160)
Yandy Díaz 1.5 () 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+190)
Junior Caminero 0.5 (-215) 1.5 () - 0.5 (+180)
Taylor Walls 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+275)

Twins vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the Minnesota Twins and the Tampa Bay Rays!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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