Twins vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 5

Updated Sep. 5, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

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Willi Castro and Christopher Morel will be among the stars on display when the Minnesota Twins face the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET, at Tropicana Field. The Twins are favored in this one, at -153, while the underdog Rays have +130 odds to play spoiler. Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +114 odds). The total is 7 runs for this contest (with -111 odds on the over and -108 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Rays vs. Mariners Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Tampa Bay Rays and Seattle Mariners game on August 27th, 2024.

Twins vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 5, 2024 at 1:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Twins vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rays 5, Twins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 50%, Rays 50%

Twins vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Twins have won 57, or 60.6%, of the 94 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Minnesota has a record of 32-15, a 68.1% win rate, when favored by -153 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.5% chance of a victory for the Twins.
• The Rays have been underdogs in 70 games this season and have come away with the win 32 times (45.7%) in those contests.
• This season, Tampa Bay has come away with a win eight times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +130 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

MIN 4 · TB 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Minnesota Twins

MIN

-1.5

-160

O 7

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

+1.5

+135

U 7

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins played as the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and finished 3-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Twins' ATS record is 1-9-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Carlos Santana is the Twins best power option, crushing 20 homers this season in addition to collecting 60 RBI, both team highs.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Santana is 55th in home runs and 81st in RBI.
• Santana takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
• Castro has a club-best .250 batting average.
• Castro is 165th in homers and 118th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Jose Miranda is hitting .301 with 28 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 18 walks.
• Ryan Jeffers has put his power on display as he leads his team with 20 home runs.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Rays have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• The Rays are led in runs batted in by Yandy Diaz with a mark of 61, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .276.
• Diaz is 133rd in home runs and 76th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Morel has collected a team-best 21 home runs.
• Among all major league batters, Morel is 42nd in homers and 97th in RBI.
• Brandon Lowe is batting .244 with 19 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 31 walks.
• Jose Caballero is batting .230 with 23 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 23 walks.

Rays Team Props

Rays vs. Mariners Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Tampa Bay Rays and Seattle Mariners game on August 27th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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