Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 3

Updated May. 3, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

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Willi Castro and the Minnesota Twins will look to out-hit Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox at Target Field on Friday at 8:10 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Twins as -123 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Red Sox +103 moneyline odds to win. Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for the contest.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Twins vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 3, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 51%, Red Sox 49%

Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Twins have entered the game as favorites 17 times this season and won 12, or 70.6%, of those games.
• Minnesota has a record of 10-4, a 71.4% win rate, when favored by -123 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The Twins have a 55.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have won in nine, or 52.9%, of the 17 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Boston has won four of nine games when listed as at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 49.3% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

BOS 2 · MIN 5

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Boston Red Sox

BOS

-1.5

+104

O 7.5

Minnesota Twins

MIN

+1.5

-123

U 7.5

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins played as the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and won every time.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
• The Twins' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Ryan Jeffers is the Twins best hitter, putting together an average of .300 while also being the team's top run producer, collecting 19 RBI and connecting on five round-trippers.
• Among all MLB hitters, Jeffers is 22nd in batting average, 17th in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging.
• Jeffers has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .412 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
• Edouard Julien has hit seven home runs to pace his team.
• Among all MLB hitters, Julien is 11th in homers and 115th in RBI.
• Alex Kirilloff is hitting .259 with six doubles, three triples, two home runs and eight walks.
• Castro is batting .270 with eight doubles, two triples, two home runs and eight walks.
• Castro brings an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .419 with six doubles, two triples, a home run and nine RBI.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 4-2 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Red Sox have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Tyler O'Neill has put up a team-best nine home runs.
• O'Neill ranks third in homers and 94th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Jarren Duran's .261 batting average paces his team.
• Among all major league hitters, Duran ranks 224th in homers and 71st in RBI.
• Wilyer Abreu is batting .313 with eight doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 walks.
• Devers has five doubles, three home runs and 15 walks while batting .286.

Red Sox Team Props

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