Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 4

Updated May. 4, 2024 2:00 p.m. ET

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Tyler O'Neill and the Boston Red Sox will hit the field on Saturday at Target Field against Pablo Lopez, who is the named starter for the Minnesota Twins. First pitch will be at 2:10 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Twins as -178 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Red Sox +148 moneyline odds. Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The contest's over/under has been listed at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Minnesota Twins' 5-2 win over the Boston Red Sox.

Twins vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 2:10 PM ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, Red Sox 48%

Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Twins have entered the game as favorites 18 times this season and won 13, or 72.2%, of those games.
• Minnesota is undefeated in five games this season when favored by -178 or more on the moneyline.
• The Twins have a 64% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have been victorious in nine, or 50%, of the 18 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have assigned Boston this season with a +148 moneyline set for this game.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 40.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

BOS 1 · MIN 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

+148

O 7.5

Minnesota Twins

MIN

-1.5

-179

U 7.5

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins played seven of their last 10 games as a moneyline favorite, and won all of them.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Twins combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total seven times.
• The Twins have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Ryan Jeffers comes into Saturday's game hitting .298 with 21 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Twins. He has also launched five home runs in 2024.
• Jeffers' home runs place him 41st in MLB, and he is 19th in RBI.
• Jeffers takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with four doubles, two walks and five RBI.
• Edouard Julien's seven home runs are a team-high mark.
• Julien ranks 12th in home runs and 89th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Willi Castro is batting .282 with nine doubles, two triples, two home runs and eight walks.
• Castro will look to build on his nine-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .429 with six doubles, two triples, a home run and eight RBI.
• Alex Kirilloff has six doubles, three triples, two home runs and eight walks while hitting .247.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
• The Red Sox have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is batting .261 with six doubles, four triples, a home run and 14 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .335.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Duran is 229th in home runs and 76th in RBI.
• O'Neill has hit nine home runs while batting .294. Both pace his squad.
• O'Neill ranks third overall in home runs and 102nd in RBI this season.
• Wilyer Abreu is batting .298 with eight doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 walks.
• Rafael Devers has seven doubles, three home runs and 16 walks while batting .300.

Red Sox Team Props

Red Sox vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Minnesota Twins' 5-2 win over the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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