Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 5
Connor Wong and the Boston Red Sox take the field on Sunday at Target Field against Joe Ryan, who will start for the Minnesota Twins. First pitch is set for 2:10 PM ET. The Twins are the favorite in this one, at -189, while the underdog Red Sox have +156 odds to upset. Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5). The matchup's total has been set at 7.5 runs.
Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Twins vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds
- When: Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 2:10 PM ET
- Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Twins | -189 | +156 | 7.5 | -114 | -106 | -1.5 | +115 | -136 |
Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction
- Score Prediction: Twins 4, Red Sox 3
- Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Twins 53%, Red Sox 47%
Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Twins have entered the game as favorites 19 times this season and won 14, or 73.7%, of those games.
- Minnesota is undefeated in five games this season when favored by -189 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.4% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- The Red Sox have come away with nine wins in the 19 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Oddsmakers have given Boston the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +156 moneyline listed for this contest.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Twins Recent Betting Performance
- The Twins won each of the seven games it played as a moneyline favorite over their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Twins have put together an 8-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Twins Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 10-0 |
Runs Per Game | 7.1 |
HR | 13 |
ERA | 3.20 |
K/9 | 9.1 |
Twins Player Insights
- Ryan Jeffers comes into Sunday's game hitting .296 with 21 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Twins. He has also launched five homers in 2024.
- Jeffers ranks 44th in home runs and 23rd in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
- Jeffers takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .250 with four doubles, two walks and four RBI.
- Edouard Julien has hit seven home runs to lead his team.
- Julien is 16th in homers and 95th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
- Willi Castro is hitting .287 with nine doubles, two triples, two home runs and eight walks.
- Castro is on a 10-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .465 with six doubles, two triples, a home run and eight RBI.
- Alex Kirilloff is hitting .244 with six doubles, three triples, two home runs and eight walks.
Twins Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Alex Kirilloff | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+200) |
Max Kepler | 0.5 (-278) | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+380) | 0.5 (+115) |
Ryan Jeffers | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+155) |
Carlos Correa | 0.5 (-256) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+145) |
Willi Castro | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+185) |
Learn more about this Twins vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.
Red Sox Recent Betting Performance
- In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 3-3.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Red Sox and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Red Sox have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Red Sox Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
HR | 6 |
ERA | 2.69 |
K/9 | 7.1 |
Red Sox Player Insights
- Jarren Duran is batting .257 with six doubles, four triples, a home run and 15 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .335.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Duran is 233rd in home runs and 82nd in RBI.
- Tyler O'Neill has hit nine home runs while hitting .292. Both high-water marks on his team.
- O'Neill is third among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 107th in RBI.
- Wilyer Abreu is hitting .307 with eight doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 walks.
- Rafael Devers has seven doubles, three home runs and 16 walks while batting .286.
Red Sox Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jarren Duran | 0.5 (-263) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+250) |
Rafael Devers | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+390) | 0.5 (+165) |
Tyler O'Neill | 0.5 (-159) | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+190) |
Vaughn Grissom | 0.5 (-204) | 0.5 (-204) | 0.5 (+750) | 0.5 (+230) |
Reese McGuire | 0.5 (-125) | 0.5 (-125) | - | 0.5 (+360) |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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