Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 20

Updated Sep. 20, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Richard Fitts will be starting for the Boston Red Sox when they take on Carlos Santana and the Minnesota Twins on Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Red Sox have been listed as +100 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Twins (-120). Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +137 odds). The over/under for the game has been set at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays.

Twins vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 20, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: BSN

Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Twins 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 51%, Red Sox 49%

Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Twins have entered the game as favorites 104 times this season and won 61, or 58.7%, of those games.
• Minnesota has a record of 53-36, a 59.6% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The Twins have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 73 games this season and have come away with the win 35 times (47.9%) in those contests.
• This season, Boston has come away with a win 24 times in 52 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL (12)

MIN 4 · BOS 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Minnesota Twins

MIN

-1.5

-120

O 8.5

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

+100

U 8.5

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins were the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-5 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Twins have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Santana is the Twins best power option, hitting 22 homers this season in addition to delivering 65 RBI, both team highs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Santana is 47th in home runs and 78th in RBI.
• Willi Castro is hitting .250 to pace his team.
• Castro ranks 169th in homers and 111th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Carlos Correa is hitting .312 with 18 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 34 walks.
• Ryan Jeffers is batting .228 with 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 2-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 2-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Red Sox have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran leads the team in batting average with a mark of .284.
• Duran is 55th in home runs and 48th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Rafael Devers has driven in the most runs for the Red Sox with 83 runs batted in.
• Devers is 24th in homers and 34th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Tyler O'Neill has 31 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .247 with 21 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 15 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Red Sox vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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