Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 20

Updated Sep. 19, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

David Festa gets the start for the Minnesota Twins on Friday at Fenway Park against Tyler O'Neill and the Boston Red Sox. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Twins are the favorite in this one, at -125, while the underdog Red Sox have +107 odds to win. Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +119 odds). The total is 9 runs for the contest.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Twins vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians on Thursday, September 19th.

Twins vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 20, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: BSN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-125	+107	9	-112	-109	-1.5	+119	-141

Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Twins 5
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, Red Sox 48%

Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

The Twins have won 61, or 58.7%, of the 104 games they've played as favorites this season.
This season Minnesota has won 46 of its 76 games, or 60.5%, when favored by at least -125 on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 55.6% chance to win.
The Red Sox have won in 35, or 47.9%, of the 73 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Boston has come away with a win 19 times in 44 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or worse on the moneyline.
The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins have a 3-5 record over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Twins' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	8
ERA	4.34
K/9	10.3

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Santana is the Twins best power option, hitting 22 homers this season in addition to accumulating 65 RBI, both team highs.
Of all hitters in the majors, Santana's home run total places him 47th, and his RBI tally ranks him 76th.
Willi Castro is batting .250 to pace his team.
Castro ranks 169th in homers in baseball, and 110th in RBI.
Carlos Correa has 18 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .312.
Ryan Jeffers is batting .228 with 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks.

Learn more about this Twins vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Red Sox had a record of 2-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 2-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Red Sox are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	14
ERA	3.58
K/9	9.0

Red Sox Player Insights

Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with a team-high batting average of .285.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Duran ranks 55th in home runs and 48th in RBI.
Rafael Devers has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 83 runs batted in.
Among all MLB hitters, Devers ranks 24th in home runs and 33rd in RBI.
O'Neill has 31 home runs, best in the lineup.
Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .247 with 21 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 15 walks.