Data Skrive
Willi Castro and the Minnesota Twins will meet Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox on Saturday at Fenway Park, at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Red Sox are +133 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Twins (-158). Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for the contest.
Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Twins vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX
Check out the top moments between the Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox.
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Twins vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: BSN
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -158 | +133 | 8 | -107 | -113 | -1.5 | +106 | -127 |
Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction
- Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Twins 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, Red Sox 48%
Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Twins have been favorites in 105 games this season and won 62 (59%) of those contests.
- Minnesota has entered 49 games this season favored by -158 or more and is 35-14 in those contests.
- The Twins have a 61.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Red Sox have won in 35, or 47.3%, of the 74 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Boston has been victorious six times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +133 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 42.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Twins Recent Betting Performance
- The Twins were the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and went 4-4 in those matchups.
- In their last 10 outings, the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Twins' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.
Twins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.71 |
| K/9 | 11.1 |
Twins Player Insights
- Carlos Santana has gone yard 22 times in the 2024 campaign while knocking in 65 runs, both totals that lead the Twins.
- Of all hitters in baseball, Santana ranks 48th in home runs and 78th in RBI.
- Castro is batting .250 to pace his team.
- Castro is 171st in homers in baseball, and 106th in RBI.
- Carlos Correa has 18 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .313.
- Ryan Jeffers is batting .228 with 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks.
Twins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 (-195) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Matt Wallner | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-145) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 (-185) | 0.5 (-185) | - | 0.5 (+220) |
Learn more about this Twins vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.
Red Sox Recent Betting Performance
- In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 2-4.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once.
- The Red Sox have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Red Sox Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.10 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Red Sox Player Insights
- Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with a .285 batting average.
- Among all hitters in the big leagues, Duran ranks 56th in home runs and 48th in RBI.
- Devers has racked up 83 runs batted in to pace his team.
- Among all major league hitters, Devers is 24th in home runs and 34th in RBI.
- Tyler O'Neill has 31 home runs, best in the lineup.
- Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .247 with 22 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 15 walks.
Red Sox Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran | 1.5 (+160) | 1.5 (-120) | - | 0.5 (+190) |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 (-285) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-145) | - | 0.5 (+285) |
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-145) | - | 0.5 (+225) |
| Vaughn Grissom | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 (-175) | - | 0.5 (+260) |
Twins vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX
Check out the top moments between the Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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