Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21

Updated Sep. 20, 2024 11:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Willi Castro and the Minnesota Twins will play Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox on Saturday at Fenway Park, at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Red Sox are listed as +110 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Twins (-130). Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The contest's total is set at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Twins vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: BSN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-130	+110	8	-109	-111	-1.5	+127	-151

Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Twins 5
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, Red Sox 48%

Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

The Twins have won 61, or 58.7%, of the 104 games they've played as favorites this season.
Minnesota has a record of 42-28, a 60% win rate, when favored by -130 or more by oddsmakers this season.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 56.5% chance to win.
The Red Sox have won in 35, or 47.9%, of the 73 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Boston has a win-loss record of 18-23 when favored by +110 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 47.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins played as the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and finished 3-5 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Twins are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	8
ERA	4.34
K/9	10.3

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Santana has gone yard 22 times in the 2024 campaign while knocking in 65 runs, both totals that lead the Twins.
Santana ranks 47th in homers and 78th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Castro's .250 batting average leads his team.
Castro is 170th in homers and 112th in RBI in the majors.
Carlos Correa is hitting .312 with 18 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 34 walks.
Ryan Jeffers is batting .228 with 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks.

Learn more about this Twins vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Red Sox had a record of 2-3.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Red Sox and their opponents are 2-7-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Red Sox have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	12
ERA	3.21
K/9	9.5

Red Sox Player Insights

Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with a .284 batting average.
Duran is 56th in home runs and 48th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
Devers has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 83 runs batted in.
Devers is 24th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 34th in RBI.
Tyler O'Neill has 31 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .247 with 21 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 15 walks.