Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 22

Updated Sep. 22, 2024 12:00 p.m. ET

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Willi Castro and the Minnesota Twins will play Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox on Sunday at Fenway Park, at 12:35 p.m. ET. The favored Twins have -146 moneyline odds against the underdog Red Sox, who are listed at +123. Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5). A 7.5-run total has been listed for the game.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Twins vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox.

Twins vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 22, 2024 at 12:35 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: BSN

Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Twins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, Red Sox 48%

Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Twins have won 62 out of the 105 games, or 59%, in which they've been favored.
• Minnesota has a record of 38-20, a 65.5% win rate, when favored by -146 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 59.3%.
• The Red Sox have been victorious in 35, or 47.3%, of the 74 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Boston has come away with a win eight times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +123 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 44.8% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

MIN 1 · BOS 8

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Minnesota Twins

MIN

-1.5

-144

O 7.5

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

+122

U 7.5

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins were favored on the moneyline in eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Twins combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
• The Twins' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Carlos Santana is the Twins best power hitter, launching 22 home runs this season in addition to collecting 65 RBI, both team highs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Santana ranks 103rd in batting average, 70th in on-base percentage, and 69th in slugging.
• Castro's .250 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Castro ranks 173rd in home runs and 108th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Carlos Correa has 18 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 35 walks while batting .313.
• Ryan Jeffers is batting .228 with 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 2-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once.
• The Red Sox have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Duran leads the Red Sox with a .285 batting average.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Duran's home run total ranks 58th and his RBI tally is 51st.
• Tyler O'Neill has launched a team-high 31 home runs.
• O'Neill is 15th overall in homers and 96th in RBI this season.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has 22 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 15 walks while hitting .247.
• Masataka Yoshida is batting .284 with 20 doubles, 10 home runs and 26 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Twins vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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