Twins vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 18

Updated Sep. 18, 2023 9:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

TJ Friedl and the Cincinnati Reds will take the field against the Minnesota Twins and starter Joe Ryan on Monday. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET at Great American Ball Park. The Reds are +128 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the Twins (-151). Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest is set at 9.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Minnesota Twins looking to Ryan (10-9), and Connor Phillips taking the ball for the Cincinnati Reds.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Reds game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Twins vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, September 18, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-151	+128	9.5	-105	-115	-1.5	+104	-124

Twins vs. Reds Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 6, Twins 5
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 50%, Reds 50%

Twins vs. Reds Betting Insights

The Twins have been favorites in 101 games this season and won 60 (59.4%) of those contests.
Minnesota has a record of 28-25 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -151 on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 60.2% chance to win.
The Reds have been victorious in 56, or 49.6%, of the 113 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 26-27 when favored by +128 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 43.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 5-2 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Twins combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total six times.
The Twins have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.4
HR	14
ERA	3.24
K/9	10.6

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Correa comes into Monday's game hitting .230 with 65 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Twins. He has also launched 18 round-trippers in 2023.
Of all hitters in the majors, Correa's home run total places him 96th, and his RBI tally ranks him 91st.
Max Kepler has hit 22 home runs to lead his team.
Kepler has six games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .270 with a double, two triples, a home run, three walks and eight RBI.
Willi Castro is hitting .247 with 18 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 27 walks.
Royce Lewis has seven doubles, 14 home runs and 19 walks while hitting .310.
Lewis has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .353 with two home runs, six walks and seven RBI.

Learn more about this Twins vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
The Reds have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	14
ERA	4.85
K/9	8.3

Reds Player Insights

Spencer Steer has a team-high 22 home runs and has driven in 81 runs.
Among all hitters in MLB, Steer's home run total ranks 61st and his RBI tally is 40th.
Friedl's .273 batting average is a team-high mark.
Friedl ranks 149th overall in homers and 126th in RBI this year.
Jonathan India is hitting .246 with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 42 walks.
Jake Fraley has 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .267.