Twins vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 19

Updated Sep. 19, 2023 6:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Noelvi Marte and the Cincinnati Reds take the field on Tuesday at Great American Ball Park against Kenta Maeda, who is the named starter for the Minnesota Twins. First pitch is set for 6:40 PM ET. The Twins are favored in this one, at -129, while the underdog Reds have +110 odds to win. Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +123 odds). The total is 9.5 runs for this matchup.

The Twins will start Maeda (5-7) versus the Reds and Fernando Cruz (0-1).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Reds game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Twins vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-129	+110	9.5	+100	-120	-1.5	+123	-147

Twins vs. Reds Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Twins 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, Reds 48%

Twins vs. Reds Betting Insights

The Twins have entered the game as favorites 102 times this season and won 60, or 58.8%, of those games.
Minnesota is 45-32 this season when entering a game favored by -129 or more on the moneyline.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Twins.
The Reds have won in 57, or 50%, of the 114 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 39 times in 80 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 47.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins have a 5-3 record from the eight games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
The Twins have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	15
ERA	3.78
K/9	10.3

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Correa is the Twins best hitter, putting together an average of .230 while also being the team's top run producer, collecting 65 RBI and launching 18 home runs.
In all of Major League Baseball, Correa is 97th in home runs and 91st in RBI.
Max Kepler has shown his power as he paces his team with 22 home runs.
Kepler has seven games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .324 with a double, two triples, a home run, three walks and eight RBI.
Willi Castro has 18 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 27 walks while batting .247.
Royce Lewis is hitting .308 with seven doubles, 15 home runs and 19 walks.
Lewis has recorded at least one hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with three home runs, five walks and eight RBI.

Learn more about this Twins vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Reds had a record of 4-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Reds have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	14
ERA	4.35
K/9	8.5

Reds Player Insights

Spencer Steer paces the Reds in home runs (22) and runs batted in (82).
Among all batters in the big leagues, Steer's home run total ranks 61st and his RBI tally is 39th.
TJ Friedl's .273 batting average paces his team.
Among all MLB hitters, Friedl is 151st in home runs and 128th in RBI.
Jonathan India is batting .245 with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 44 walks.
Jake Fraley is hitting .265 with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 34 walks.