Twins vs. Rockies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Twins vs. Rockies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 30, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Colorado Rockies will look to Nolan Jones for continued offensive production when they hit the field against Willi Castro and the Minnesota Twins on Saturday, in the second game of a three-game series at Coors Field. Bookmakers list the Twins as -135 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Rockies +114 moneyline odds. Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total for the game is set at 13 runs.

The starting pitchers are Emilio Pagan (4-2) for the Minnesota Twins, and Matt Koch (3-2) for the Colorado Rockies.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Rockies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Twins vs. Rockies Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
  • Where: Coors Field in Denver, Colorado
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet RM
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins -135 +114 13 -115 -105 -1.5 +106 -127

Twins vs. Rockies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 6, Rockies 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 13 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Twins 57%, Rockies 43%

Twins vs. Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Twins have entered the game as favorites 110 times this season and won 66, or 60%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has a record of 44-32, a 57.9% win rate, when favored by -135 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • The Rockies have won in 53, or 36.6%, of the 145 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Colorado has a mark of 44-88 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +114 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rockies have a 46.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins were the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they went 6-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Twins' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 16
ERA 3.54
K/9 12.1

Twins Player Insights

  • Max Kepler has gone yard 23 times in the 2023 campaign while knocking in 63 runs, both totals that lead the Twins.
  • Kepler carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a double, a home run, four walks and three RBI.
  • Castro is hitting .256 with 18 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 31 walks.
  • Castro carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .357 with a triple and four walks.
  • Edouard Julien is hitting .255 with 15 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 63 walks.
  • Jorge Polanco has 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 36 walks while hitting .255.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Kyle Farmer 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+110)
Trevor Larnach 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+145)
Willi Castro 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+135)
Christian Vázquez 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+155)
Matt Wallner 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+235) 0.5 (+115)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Rockies matchup on Fox Sports.

Rockies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Rockies have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Rockies and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Rockies are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rockies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 13
ERA 5.49
K/9 7.6

Rockies Player Insights

  • Ryan McMahon leads the Rockies with 23 home runs.
  • McMahon is 60th in homers and 85th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Ezequiel Tovar has driven in the most runs for the Rockies with 73 runs batted in.
  • Tovar ranks 142nd in homers and 77th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Jones is hitting .292 with 22 doubles, four triples, 19 home runs and 51 walks.
  • Charlie Blackmon has 24 doubles, five triples, eight home runs and 39 walks while batting .285.

Rockies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alan Trejo 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+210)
Elias Díaz 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+165)
Brendan Rodgers 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+155)
Elehuris Montero 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+150)
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+175)
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