Twins vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals will play on Saturday at Kauffman Stadium, at 7:10 PM ET, with Carlos Correa and Bobby Witt Jr. among those expected to deliver at the plate. Oddsmakers list the Twins as -187 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Royals +159 moneyline odds to win. Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under for the contest is set at 9.5 runs.

The Minnesota Twins will hand the ball to Bailey Ober (6-4, 2.76 ERA), who is looking for win No. 7 on the season, and the Royals will turn to Jordan Lyles (1-12, 6.10 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 29, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-187	+159	9.5	-103	-116	-1.5	-119	-101

Twins vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 6, Royals 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 53%, Royals 47%

Twins vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Twins have been favorites in 68 games this season and won 41 (60.3%) of those contests.
Minnesota has entered 15 games this season favored by -187 or more and is 9-6 in those contests.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 65.2% chance to win.
The Royals have won in 27, or 29.7%, of the 91 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, Kansas City has won 10 of 40 games when listed as at least +159 or worse on the moneyline.
The Royals have an implied victory probability of 38.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins went 4-3 across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
The Twins have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.6
HR	17
ERA	4.45
K/9	10.2

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Twins Player Insights

Correa is the Twins best hitter, putting together an average of .229 while also being the team's top run producer, accumulating 45 RBI and launching 12 round-trippers.
Correa's home runs put him 100th in MLB, and he ranks 91st in RBI.
Byron Buxton's 17 home runs lead his team.
Buxton is 37th in home runs and 117th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
Buxton enters this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
Max Kepler is hitting .229 with 10 doubles, 14 home runs and 21 walks.
Willi Castro is batting .241 with 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 21 walks.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Carlos Correa	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+145)
Jorge Polanco	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+135)
Byron Buxton	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+140)
Willi Castro	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+205)
Alex Kirilloff	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 3-7 in those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Royals and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Royals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	12
ERA	5.34
K/9	6.7

Royals Player Insights

Witt Jr. leads the Royals in home runs (17), runs batted in (57) and has posted a team-high batting average of .257.
Among all hitters in the majors, Witt Jr. is 37th in homers and 43rd in RBI.
Salvador Perez has put his power on display as he paces his team with 17 home runs.
Perez is currently 37th in home runs and 103rd in RBI in the major leagues.
Maikel Garcia is hitting .273 with 14 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 21 walks.
Edward Olivares is batting .247 with 14 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 14 walks.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Salvador Pérez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+125)
Edward Olivares	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+220)
MJ Melendez	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+150)
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.5 (-294)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+170)
Maikel Garcia	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+225)

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