Twins vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Updated Jul. 30, 2023 2:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Minnesota Twins versus Kansas City Royals game on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET will showcase a pair of hot hitters in Max Kepler and Bobby Witt Jr.. The Royals are listed as +143 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Twins (-168). Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5). A 9-run over/under has been set in the contest.

The starting pitchers are Kenta Maeda (2-5) for the Minnesota Twins, and Ryan Yarbrough (3-5) for the Kansas City Royals.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 30, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-168	+143	9	-115	-105	-1.5	-107	-113

Twins vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Royals 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 53%, Royals 47%

Twins vs. Royals Betting Insights

This season, the Twins have been favored 69 times and won 41, or 59.4%, of those games.
Minnesota has entered 21 games this season favored by -168 or more and is 12-9 in those contests.
The Twins have a 62.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Royals have been underdogs in 92 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (30.4%) in those contests.
This season, Kansas City has come away with a win 16 times in 56 chances when named as an underdog of at least +143 or worse on the moneyline.
The Royals have an implied victory probability of 41.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins have a 4-4 record from the eight games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Twins have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	14
ERA	5.18
K/9	10.3

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Twins Player Insights

Carlos Correa leads the Twins with 45 runs batted in while accumulating a team-high batting average of .228.
In all of MLB, Correa ranks 103rd in home runs and 95th in RBI.
Correa carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .174 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
Byron Buxton has put his power on display as he leads his team with 17 home runs.
Of all MLB batters, Buxton is 40th in home runs and 109th in RBI.
Buxton heads into this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .438 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
Kepler is hitting .233 with 11 doubles, 15 home runs and 22 walks.
Kepler has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .364 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
Willi Castro is batting .243 with 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 22 walks.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Dónovan Solano	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+175)
Carlos Correa	1.5 (+145)	1.5 (-125)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+160)
Byron Buxton	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+300)	0.5 (+130)
Christian Vázquez	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+170)
Kyle Farmer	0.5 (-286)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
The Royals have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4
HR	14
ERA	5.13
K/9	6.9

Royals Player Insights

Witt Jr. leads the lineup with a batting average of .263, while leading the Royals in home runs, with 18 and runs batted in with 60.
Among all hitters in the majors, Witt Jr.'s home run total ranks 31st and his RBI tally is 33rd.
Salvador Perez is hitting .249 with 16 doubles, 17 home runs and 13 walks.
Perez is 40th overall in home runs and 98th in RBI this season.
Maikel Garcia is hitting .272 with 14 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 21 walks.
Edward Olivares has 15 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 14 walks while hitting .246.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Michael Massey	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+200)
Edward Olivares	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+220)
Salvador Pérez	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+120)
MJ Melendez	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+145)
Bobby Witt Jr.	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+160)

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