Twins vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 4

Updated Jul. 4, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

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Carlos Correa and the Minnesota Twins will look to find success against Kenta Maeda when he starts for the Detroit Tigers on Thursday at 1:10 PM ET. The favored Twins have -171 moneyline odds against the underdog Tigers, who are listed at +144. Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for this game (with +100 odds on the over and -122 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Tigers vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Detroit Tigers and the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday, July 3.

Twins vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: BSN

Twins vs. Tigers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Tigers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 55%, Tigers 45%

Twins vs. Tigers Betting Insights

• The Twins have been favorites in 58 games this season and won 37 (63.8%) of those contests.
• Minnesota has entered 22 games this season favored by -171 or more and is 17-5 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 63.1% chance of a victory for the Twins.
• The Tigers have been underdogs in 45 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (42.2%) in those contests.
• Detroit has been listed as an underdog of +144 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL (7)

DET 3 · MIN 12

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Detroit Tigers

DET

+1.5

+150

O 8

Minnesota Twins

MIN

-1.5

-181

U 8

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have a 7-2 record from the nine games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Twins have gone 8-2-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Correa's .310 average leads the Twins this year. His resume also includes 10 homers and driven in 41 RBI.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Correa ranks 84th in home runs and 56th in RBI.
• Correa carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .324 with three doubles, two home runs, five walks and six RBI.
• Carlos Santana is hitting .247 with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 28 walks.
• Including all major league batters, Santana ranks 51st in homers and 72nd in RBI.
• Willi Castro is hitting .274 with 21 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 28 walks.
• Jose Miranda is batting .297 with 16 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 14 walks.
• Miranda is riding a seven-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 outings he is batting .389 with four doubles, six walks and 10 RBI.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• The Tigers have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Tigers are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Riley Greene leads the squad with a batting average of .260, while leading the Tigers in home runs, with 16 and runs batted in with 43.
• Greene's home run total puts him 21st in MLB, and he ranks 45th in RBI.
• Matthew Vierling is hitting .249 with 10 doubles, five triples, 11 home runs and 13 walks.
• Vierling is 61st in home runs and 100th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Mark Canha is batting .224 with 13 doubles, six home runs and 35 walks.
• Wenceel Perez is batting .260 with 11 doubles, five triples, four home runs and 19 walks.

Tigers Team Props

Tigers vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Detroit Tigers and the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday, July 3.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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