Twins vs. White Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Minnesota Twins and Max Kepler head into the third of a four-game series against Andrew Vaughn and the Chicago White Sox on Saturday at Guaranteed Rate Field. The Twins are -232 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the White Sox (+190). Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5). The contest's total has been set at 9 runs.

The Minnesota Twins will hand the ball to Pablo Lopez (10-7, 3.48 ERA), who is looking for win No. 11 on the season, and the White Sox will turn to Touki Toussaint (3-7, 5.65 ERA).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-White Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Twins vs. White Sox Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois
How to Watch on TV: NBCS-CHI

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-232	+190	9	-101	-119	-1.5	-142	+120

Twins vs. White Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 6, White Sox 5
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 53%, White Sox 47%

Twins vs. White Sox Betting Insights

This season, the Twins have won 59 out of the 99 games, or 59.6%, in which they've been favored.
Minnesota is 4-4 this season when entering a game favored by -232 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.9% chance of a victory for the Twins.
The White Sox have won in 33, or 32.4%, of the 102 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Chicago has a win-loss record of 3-4 when favored by +190 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the White Sox have a 34.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins played as the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and finished 5-2 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Twins' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	13
ERA	3.03
K/9	10

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Correa paces the Twins with 64 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .230.
Correa's home runs rank him 95th in the majors, and he ranks 94th in RBI.
Correa has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
Max Kepler has hit 22 home runs to lead his team.
Kepler has five straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with a double, a triple, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
Willi Castro is batting .253 with 18 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 27 walks.
Castro will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .190 with a double, a home run and three RBI.
Royce Lewis has seven doubles, 14 home runs and 18 walks while hitting .302.
Lewis is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .176 with three home runs, five walks and nine RBI.

Learn more about this Twins vs. White Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

White Sox Recent Betting Performance

The White Sox have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the White Sox and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
Over their last 10 games, the White Sox are 5-5-0 against the spread.

White Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	10
ERA	5.16
K/9	10.4

White Sox Player Insights

Luis Robert has put up a team-high 35 home runs and has driven in 75 runs.
Robert's home run total places him seventh in the majors, and he is 51st in RBI.
Andrew Vaughn has driven in the most runs for the White Sox with 75 runs batted in.
Vaughn ranks 76th overall in homers and 51st in RBI this season.
Andrew Benintendi paces the White Sox's lineup with a .266 batting average.
Eloy Jimenez is batting .268 with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 28 walks.