Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21

Updated Sep. 21, 2023 7:07 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Gleyber Torres and the New York Yankees will take on George Springer and the Toronto Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium in the final of a three-game series, on Thursday at 7:05 PM ET. The favored Yankees have -140 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Blue Jays, who are listed at +119. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +157 odds). The total is 7 runs for the matchup (with +103 odds to hit the over and -123 odds to go under).

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the New York Yankees looking to Gerrit Cole (13-4), and Jose Berrios (11-10) answering the bell for the Toronto Blue Jays.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Blue Jays game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
How to Watch on TV: YES

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees	-140	+119	7	+103	-123	-1.5	+157	-189

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Blue Jays 4
Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
Win Probabilities: Yankees 50%, Blue Jays 50%

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 93 times this season and won 50, or 53.8%, of those games.
New York has a record of 32-21, a 60.4% win rate, when favored by -140 or more by bookmakers this season.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
The Blue Jays have been victorious in 21, or 56.8%, of the 37 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This year, Toronto has won three of eight games when listed as at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 45.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees were the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and went 4-2 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Yankees combined with their opponents to go over the total two times.
The Yankees have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.6
HR	7
ERA	3.52
K/9	9.7

Yankees Player Insights

Torres leads the Yankees with 66 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .273.
Torres' home runs rank him 40th in MLB, and he is 92nd in RBI.
Torres has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with two doubles, six walks and an RBI.
Aaron Judge's 32 home runs lead his team.
Anthony Volpe is hitting .208 with 20 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 50 walks.
DJ LeMahieu is hitting .242 with 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 53 walks.

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Blue Jays matchup on Fox Sports.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Blue Jays have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
The Blue Jays are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	10
ERA	4.12
K/9	9.2

Blue Jays Player Insights

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has put up a team-high 24 home runs and has driven in 90 runs.
In all of MLB, Guerrero ranks 48th in home runs and 30th in RBI.
Springer is batting .257 with 22 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 58 walks.
Springer is 81st overall in home runs and 96th in RBI this season.
Bo Bichette has a team-best batting average of .303.
Whit Merrifield is batting .280 with 26 doubles, 11 home runs and 34 walks.