Yankees vs. Guardians ALCS Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 14

Updated Oct. 14, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET

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The ALCS begins on Monday when the New York Yankees play host to the Cleveland Guardians. Action begins at 7:38 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium, and can be watched on TBS. The favored Yankees have -169 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Guardians, who are listed at +141. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +129 odds). The total for the game is listed at 7.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Guardians vs. Yankees ALCS Game 1 Preview: Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez and David Ortiz | MLB on FOX

Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez and David Ortiz previewed the Game 1 matchup in the ALCS between the Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, October 14, 2024 at 7:38 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Guardians 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 55%, Guardians 45%

Yankees vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• The Yankees have won 77, or 57.5%, of the 134 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has entered 59 games this season favored by -169 or more and is 38-21 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 62.8% chance to win.
• The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 60 games this year and have walked away with the win 28 times (46.7%) in those games.
• Cleveland has a mark of 5-6 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +141 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 41.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

CLE 2 · NYY 5

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

+1.5

+144

O 7.5

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-172

U 7.5

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 5-5 record over the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Yankees are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge has accumulated a team-high batting average of .322, and paces the Yankees in home runs (58) and runs batted in (144).
• Among all hitters in baseball, Judge ranks first in home runs and first in RBI.
• Juan Soto has 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 129 walks while batting .288.
• Soto is fourth in homers and sixth in RBI in the bigs.
• Jazz Chisholm has 21 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 53 walks while batting .256.
• Gleyber Torres is hitting .257 with 26 doubles, 15 home runs and 65 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Guardians had a record of 1-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Guardians have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 39 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 118.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Ramirez's home run total is fifth and his RBI tally is third.
• Josh Naylor is batting .243 with 27 doubles, 31 home runs and 58 walks.
• Naylor is 18th overall in home runs and eighth in RBI this season.
• Steven Kwan paces the Guardians' lineup with a .292 batting average.
• Andres Gimenez is batting .252 with 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Guardians vs. Yankees ALCS Game 1 Preview: Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez and David Ortiz | MLB on FOX

Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez and David Ortiz previewed the Game 1 matchup in the ALCS between the Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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