Yankees vs. Guardians ALCS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 18

Updated Oct. 18, 2024 8:02 p.m. ET

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The ALCS resumes Friday at 8:08 p.m. ET when the New York Yankees visit the Cleveland Guardians live on truTV from Progressive Field. The Yankees would take a commanding 3-1 series lead with a Game 4 win, while the Yankees hope to tie the series up heading into Game 5. Bookmakers list the Yankees as -122 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Guardians +102 moneyline odds to win. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +136 odds). The matchup's total is set at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Yankees vs. Guardians ALC Game 3: Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, Daivd Oritz react to Cleveland's win

Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, Daivd Oritz reacted to the Cleveland Guardians' 7-5 win over the New York Yankees in Game 3 of the ALCS and debated whether the series will go seven games.

Yankees vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, October 18, 2024 at 8:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: truTV

Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Yankees 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Guardians 49%

Yankees vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 137 times this season and won 79, or 57.7%, of those games.
• New York is 70-51 this season when entering a game favored by -122 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 55% chance to win.
• The Guardians have been victorious in 29, or 46%, of the 63 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Cleveland has a mark of 14-30 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +102 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 49.5% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

NYY 8 · CLE 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-126

O 7.5

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

+1.5

+106

U 7.5

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 6-4 record across the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Yankees have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 58 home runs and 144 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-best batting average of .322.
• Judge's home runs rank him first in the majors, and he ranks first in RBI.
• Judge carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .188 with a double, two home runs, four walks and six RBI.
• Juan Soto has 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 129 walks while hitting .288.
• Among all major league hitters, Soto ranks fourth in homers and sixth in RBI.
• Jazz Chisholm is hitting .256 with 21 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 53 walks.
• Chisholm has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .105 with a double and two walks.
• Gleyber Torres is batting .257 with 26 doubles, 15 home runs and 65 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Guardians had a record of 2-3.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Guardians and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Guardians are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians in home runs (39) and runs batted in (118).
• In all of the majors, Ramirez is fifth in home runs and third in RBI.
• Josh Naylor has 27 doubles, 31 home runs and 58 walks while batting .243.
• Among all major league hitters, Naylor ranks 18th in homers and eighth in RBI.
• Steven Kwan has accumulated a team-high batting average of .292.
• Andres Gimenez has 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks while batting .252.

Guardians Team Props

Yankees vs. Guardians ALC Game 3: Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, Daivd Oritz react to Cleveland's win

Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, Daivd Oritz reacted to the Cleveland Guardians' 7-5 win over the New York Yankees in Game 3 of the ALCS and debated whether the series will go seven games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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