Yankees vs. Guardians ALCS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 18

Updated Oct. 18, 2024 1:01 a.m. ET

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The New York Yankees will visit the Cleveland Guardians in the fourth game of the ALCS on Friday at 8:08 p.m. ET, live on truTV from Progressive Field. The Guardians will try to tie things up as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 2-1. The Yankees are -120 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Guardians (+100). New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The contest's over/under has been listed at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Yankees vs. Guardians ALC Game 3: Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, Daivd Oritz react to Cleveland's win

Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, Daivd Oritz reacted to the Cleveland Guardians' 7-5 win over the New York Yankees in Game 3 of the ALCS and debated whether the series will go seven games.

Yankees vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, October 18, 2024 at 8:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: truTV

Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Yankees 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Guardians 49%

Yankees vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 137 times this season and won 79, or 57.7%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 74-54, a 57.8% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 54.5% chance to win.
• The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 63 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (46%) in those games.
• Cleveland has a mark of 16-30 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.

Sat 12:08 AM

TBS

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-120

O 7.5

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

+1.5

+100

U 7.5

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees went 6-4 over the 10 games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Yankees have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge leads the Yankees in home runs (58), runs batted in (144) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .322.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Judge's home run total ranks him first, and his RBI tally puts him first.
• Judge carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .188 with a double, two home runs, four walks and six RBI.
• Juan Soto has 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 129 walks while hitting .288.
• Soto ranks fourth in homers and sixth in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Jazz Chisholm has 21 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .256.
• Chisholm will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .105 with a double and two walks.
• Gleyber Torres has 26 doubles, 15 home runs and 65 walks while hitting .257.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Guardians are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 39 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 118.
• In all of the big leagues, Ramirez ranks fifth in home runs and third in RBI.
• Josh Naylor has 27 doubles, 31 home runs and 58 walks while batting .243.
• Naylor ranks 18th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and eighth in RBI.
• Steven Kwan has a team-best batting average of .292.
• Andres Gimenez is batting .252 with 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Yankees vs. Guardians ALC Game 3: Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, Daivd Oritz react to Cleveland's win

Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, Daivd Oritz reacted to the Cleveland Guardians' 7-5 win over the New York Yankees in Game 3 of the ALCS and debated whether the series will go seven games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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