Yankees vs. Guardians ALCS Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 19

Yankees vs. Guardians ALCS Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 19

Updated Oct. 19, 2024 5:01 a.m. ET

Gleyber Torres and the New York Yankees hit the field on Saturday at Progressive Field against Tanner Bibee, who is starting for the Cleveland Guardians. First pitch will be at 8:08 p.m. ET. The favored Yankees have -120 moneyline odds against the underdog Guardians, who are listed at +100. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +145 odds). The contest's total has been set at 7.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Juan Soto & Giancarlo Stanton both launch homers in Yankees win over Guardians in ALCS Game 4

Juan Soto & Giancarlo Stanton both launched homers in New York Yankees' win over Cleveland Guardians in American League Championship Game 4.
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Yankees vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 8:08 p.m. ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: truTV
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees -120 +100 7.5 +100 -121 -1.5 +145 -173

Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Yankees 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Guardians 49%

Yankees vs. Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 138 times this season and won 80, or 58%, of those games.
  • This season New York has won 75 of its 129 games, or 58.1%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • The Guardians have been underdogs in 64 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (45.3%) in those contests.
  • This year, Cleveland has won 16 of 47 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.
Sun 12:08 AM
TBS
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Yankees
NYY
Cleveland Guardians
CLE

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and went 7-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Yankees have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 13
ERA 4.09
K/9 9.5

Yankees Player Insights

  • Aaron Judge leads the Yankees in home runs (58), runs batted in (144) and has accumulated a team-best batting average of .322.
  • Judge is first in home runs and first in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Judge has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a double, two home runs, four walks and six RBI.
  • Juan Soto is hitting .288 with 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 129 walks.
  • Soto ranks fourth in homers and sixth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Jazz Chisholm has 21 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 53 walks while batting .256.
  • Torres has 26 doubles, 15 home runs and 65 walks while hitting .257.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Aaron Judge 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+140)
Gleyber Torres 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+250)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+190)
Austin Wells 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+235)
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (-165) - 0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Guardians are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 10
ERA 3.68
K/9 10.8

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez has managed a team-leading 39 home runs and has driven in 118 runs.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Ramirez is fifth in homers and third in RBI.
  • Ramirez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and four RBI.
  • Josh Naylor has 27 doubles, 31 home runs and 58 walks while hitting .243.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Naylor is 18th in homers and eighth in RBI.
  • Steven Kwan paces the Guardians' lineup with a .292 batting average.
  • Andres Gimenez is batting .252 with 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Steven Kwan 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+155) - 0.5 (+280)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+160)
Jhonkensy Noel 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) - 0.5 (+245)
Bo Naylor 0.5 (+120) 0.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+425)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (-160) - 0.5 (+350)

Juan Soto & Giancarlo Stanton both launch homers in Yankees win over Guardians in ALCS Game 4

Juan Soto & Giancarlo Stanton both launched homers in New York Yankees' win over Cleveland Guardians in American League Championship Game 4.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Cleveland Guardians
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