Yankees vs. Guardians ALCS Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 19

Updated Oct. 19, 2024 8:01 p.m. ET

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Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians will take the field against the New York Yankees and starter Carlos Rodon on Saturday. First pitch is at 8:08 p.m. ET at Progressive Field. Bookmakers list the Yankees as -131 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Guardians +111 moneyline odds. New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. A 7.5-run over/under is set in the matchup.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 8:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: truTV

Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Yankees 3
• Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Guardians 49%

Yankees vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 138 times and won 80, or 58%, of those games.
• New York has entered 106 games this season favored by -131 or more and is 63-43 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 56.7%.
• The Guardians have been underdogs in 64 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (45.3%) in those contests.
• This year, Cleveland has won 11 of 29 games when listed as at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL (10)

NYY 5 · CLE 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-135

O 7.5

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

+1.5

+114

U 7.5

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees were the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and they went 7-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
• The Yankees have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge has accumulated a team-high batting average of .322, while leading the Yankees in home runs (58) and runs batted in (144).
• Including all MLB hitters, Judge ranks third in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
• Judge has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a double, two home runs, four walks and six RBI.
• Juan Soto is batting .288 with 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 129 walks.
• Soto ranks fourth in home runs in the majors, and sixth in RBI.
• Jazz Chisholm has 21 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 53 walks while batting .256.
• Gleyber Torres has 26 doubles, 15 home runs and 65 walks while batting .257.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Guardians have a record of 2-4.
• The Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Guardians have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez has managed a team-high 39 home runs and has driven in 118 runs.
• Ramirez's home run total places him fifth in the majors, and he ranks third in RBI.
• Ramirez has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and four RBI.
• Naylor has 27 doubles, 31 home runs and 58 walks while batting .243.
• Naylor is 18th overall in home runs and eighth in RBI this season.
• Steven Kwan paces the Guardians with a team-high batting average of .292.
• Andres Gimenez has 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks while hitting .252.

Guardians Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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