Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Updated Jul. 28, 2023 6:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Gerrit Cole takes the mound for the New York Yankees on Friday against Adley Rutschman and the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is at 7:05 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Yankees have been listed as -129 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Orioles (+110). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +130 odds). The over/under for the game has been listed at 8.5 runs.

The Yankees will start Cole (9-2) versus the Orioles and Grayson Rodriguez (2-2).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Yankees vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 28, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
How to Watch on TV: MASN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees	-129	+110	8.5	-121	+101	-1.5	+130	-155

Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Orioles 6, Yankees 5
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Orioles 46%

Yankees vs. Orioles Betting Insights

The Yankees have been favorites in 68 games this season and won 40 (58.8%) of those contests.
New York is 34-17 this season when entering a game favored by -129 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
The Orioles have been underdogs in 53 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (52.8%) in those contests.
Baltimore has a mark of 18-15 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +110 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 47.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees have a 5-3 record over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Yankees' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	11
ERA	4.53
K/9	10.3

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Yankees Player Insights

Gleyber Torres comes into Friday's game as the Yankees top run producer, delivering 43 RBI while crushing 16 home runs in 2023. His .264 average is also best on the squad.
In all of the majors, Torres ranks 49th in homers and 100th in RBI.
Torres brings a hitting streak of 15 games into this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .317 with a triple, three home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
Anthony Rizzo is hitting .246 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 34 walks.
Rizzo ranks 100th in home runs in the majors, and 110th in RBI.
Anthony Volpe has 12 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .212.
Volpe has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .364 with two doubles, two walks and two RBI.
DJ LeMahieu has 16 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 33 walks while hitting .231.

Yankees Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Giancarlo Stanton	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+140)
Anthony Rizzo	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+155)
Harrison Bader	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+175)
Gleyber Torres	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+175)
DJ LeMahieu	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 5-4.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Orioles have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4
HR	8
ERA	4.69
K/9	8.3

Orioles Player Insights

Rutschman has 17 doubles, 14 home runs and 60 walks while hitting .268.
Rutschman's home run total places him 72nd in MLB, and he ranks 83rd in RBI.
Rutschman has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .158 with a double, a home run, four walks and four RBI.
Anthony Santander been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 17 home runs and 55 RBI.
Santander ranks 34th in homers and 47th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
Adam Frazier has 14 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .241.
Gunnar Henderson has 12 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 43 walks while batting .241.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Anthony Santander	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+155)
Ryan O'Hearn	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+160)
Gunnar Henderson	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+220)
Adley Rutschman	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+210)
Ryan Mountcastle	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+200)

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