Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2023 6:22 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees will try to find success Luis Ortiz when he takes the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday at 6:35 PM ET, in the second game of a three-game series at PNC Park. The Yankees are favored in this one, at -118, while the underdog Pirates have -101 odds to upset. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +137 odds). The total is 9.5 runs for the contest.

The starting pitchers are Luke Weaver (2-5) for the New York Yankees, and Ortiz (4-4) for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Yankees vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 6:35 PM ET
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees	-118	-101	9.5	-104	-115	-1.5	+137	-162

Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Yankees 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Pirates 49%

Yankees vs. Pirates Betting Insights

This season, the Yankees have won 49 out of the 90 games, or 54.4%, in which they've been favored.
New York has a record of 43-31, a 58.1% win rate, when favored by -118 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
The Pirates have won in 50, or 42.7%, of the 117 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 44 times in 107 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 50.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees went 4-3 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Yankees' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	6
ERA	4.55
K/9	10.5

Yankees Player Insights

Gleyber Torres has accumulated a team-best batting average of .271 while leading the Yankees in runs batted in (65).
In all of Major League Baseball, Torres is 36th in home runs and 89th in RBI.
Aaron Judge has put his power on display as he paces his team with 32 home runs.
Judge enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with a home run, five walks and five RBI.
Anthony Volpe is hitting .211 with 20 doubles, four triples, 20 home runs and 50 walks.
Volpe is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .143 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
DJ LeMahieu is hitting .243 with 21 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 51 walks.
LeMahieu is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .261 with two doubles, a walk and four RBI.

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 2-4 in those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Pirates are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	9
ERA	4.70
K/9	7.7

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds has a team-leading batting average of .272 while leading the Pirates in runs batted in with a mark of 75.
Reynolds' home run total puts him 66th in MLB, and he ranks 51st in RBI.
Reynolds brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a home run, three walks and five RBI.
Ke'Bryan Hayes is hitting .270 with 25 doubles, seven triples, 13 home runs and 27 walks.
Hayes is currently 162nd in home runs and 112th in RBI in the big leagues.
Jack Suwinski has 25 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
Connor Joe is hitting .231 with 27 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 46 walks.