Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Updated Sep. 17, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Carlos Rodon will take the mound first for the New York Yankees on Sunday against Ke'Bryan Hayes and the Pittsburgh Pirates. First pitch is at 1:35 PM ET for this final game in a three-game series. The Pirates have been listed as +139 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Yankees (-163). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +102 odds). An 8-run over/under is set in the matchup.

The Yankees will start Rodon (3-5) versus the Pirates and Colin Selby (2-1).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Yankees vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees	-163	+139	8	-111	-109	-1.5	+102	-122

Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Yankees 5
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Pirates 49%

Yankees vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Yankees have been favorites in 91 games this season and won 50 (54.9%) of those contests.
This season New York has won 22 of its 31 games, or 71%, when favored by at least -163 on the moneyline.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 62% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
The Pirates have come away with 50 wins in the 118 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Pittsburgh has a mark of 20-25 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +139 or worse on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 41.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
The Yankees have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	7
ERA	4.55
K/9	10.6

Yankees Player Insights

Gleyber Torres has racked up a team-high batting average of .272 while leading the Yankees in runs batted in (65).
Of all hitters in the majors, Torres' home run total places him 36th, and his RBI tally puts him 89th.
Aaron Judge's 32 home runs pace his team.
Anthony Volpe is batting .211 with 20 doubles, four triples, 20 home runs and 50 walks.
Volpe will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
DJ LeMahieu is hitting .243 with 21 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 52 walks.
LeMahieu has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with two doubles, two walks and four RBI.

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 2-4 in those contests.
The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Pirates have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	9
ERA	4.70
K/9	7.7

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds has driven in a team-leading 77 runs batted in.
Reynolds ranks 60th in homers and 47th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
Reynolds brings a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
Hayes is batting .273 to lead the lineup.
Hayes ranks 162nd overall in home runs and 113th in RBI this year.
Jack Suwinski has 25 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
Connor Joe is hitting .231 with 27 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 46 walks.