Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET

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Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees meet Isiah Kiner-Falefa and the Pittsburgh Pirates at Yankee Stadium on Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET, in the first game of a three-game series. The Yankees are the favorite in this one, at -163, while the underdog Pirates have +138 odds to win. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +127 odds). The total for the contest is listed at 7.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Pirates 3
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 59%, Pirates 41%

Yankees vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 127 times this season and won 73, or 57.5%, of those games.
• This season New York has won 40 of its 63 games, or 63.5%, when favored by at least -163 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 62% chance to win.
• The Pirates have come away with 38 wins in the 95 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win nine times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +138 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

PIT 4 · NYY 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

+140

O 7.5

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-165

U 7.5

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they went 7-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Yankees' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Judge has racked up a team-best batting average of .325, while pacing the Yankees in home runs (58) and runs batted in (144).
• Among all MLB hitters, Judge is second in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
• Judge carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .533 with a double, five home runs, seven walks and eight RBI.
• Juan Soto is batting .288 with 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 126 walks.
• Soto ranks fourth in home runs and seventh in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Soto carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Jazz Chisholm is hitting .253 with 19 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 53 walks.
• Anthony Volpe is batting .246 with 27 doubles, seven triples, 12 home runs and 40 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 3-6.
• The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds leads the squad with a batting average of .275, and leads the Pirates in home runs, with 22 and runs batted in with 85.
• Reynolds' home run total puts him 54th in MLB, and he ranks 34th in RBI.
• Oneil Cruz has 34 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 48 walks while hitting .263.
• Cruz ranks 62nd in home runs and 49th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Andrew McCutchen has 18 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 58 walks while hitting .234.
• Kiner-Falefa is batting .274 with 18 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 16 walks.

Pirates Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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