Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 3:01 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Aaron Judge and Bryan Reynolds will be among the star attractions when the New York Yankees face the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET, at Yankee Stadium. Oddsmakers list the Yankees as -180 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +150 moneyline odds to win. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8.5-run total has been listed in this contest.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 7:05 p.m. ET
Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees	-180	+150	8.5	+105	-126	-1.5	+110	-131

Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Pirates 3
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Yankees 59%, Pirates 41%

Yankees vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Yankees have been favorites in 127 games this season and won 73 (57.5%) of those contests.
New York has a record of 27-16, a 62.8% win rate, when favored by -180 or more by bookmakers this season.
The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 64.3%.
The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 95 games this year and have walked away with the win 38 times (40%) in those games.
This year, Pittsburgh has won five of 17 games when listed as at least +150 or worse on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 40% chance of pulling out a win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they went 7-2 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
The Yankees' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	6.1
HR	17
ERA	2.57
K/9	9.3

Yankees Player Insights

Judge leads the Yankees with 58 home runs and 144 runs batted in, while racking up a team-high batting average of .325.
Of all hitters in the majors, Judge's home run total ranks him first, and his RBI tally ranks him first.
Judge carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .533 with a double, five home runs, seven walks and eight RBI.
Juan Soto has 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 126 walks while hitting .288.
Soto ranks fourth in home runs and seventh in RBI in the major leagues.
Soto carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .286 with a home run, two walks and four RBI.
Jazz Chisholm is hitting .253 with 19 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 53 walks.
Anthony Volpe is batting .246 with 27 doubles, seven triples, 12 home runs and 40 walks.

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Pirates have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	2.1
HR	8
ERA	4.76
K/9	8.5

Pirates Player Insights

Reynolds paces the Pirates with 22 home runs and 85 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .275.
Reynolds ranks 54th in home runs and 34th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Oneil Cruz is hitting .263 with 34 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 48 walks.
Cruz is currently 62nd in home runs and 49th in RBI in the major leagues.
Andrew McCutchen has 18 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 58 walks while hitting .234.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .274 with 18 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 16 walks.