Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

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Aaron Judge and Oneil Cruz will be among the stars on display when the New York Yankees face the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday at 1:05 p.m. ET, at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees have been listed as -132 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Pirates (+112). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 6.5 runs for the matchup (with -122 odds to hit the over and +102 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Pirates vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 1:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 58%, Pirates 42%

Yankees vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 128 times this season and won 73, or 57%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 58-40 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -132 on the moneyline.
• The Yankees have a 56.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Pirates have come away with 39 wins in the 96 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 25-38 when favored by +112 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 47.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

PIT 9 · NYY 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

+115

O 6.5

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-135

U 6.5

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees went 6-3 across the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Yankees' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Judge leads the Yankees with 58 home runs and 144 runs batted in, while racking up a team-best batting average of .325.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Judge's home run total ranks him first, and his RBI tally ranks him first.
• Judge carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .533 with a double, five home runs, seven walks and eight RBI.
• Juan Soto is batting .288 with 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 127 walks.
• Soto is fourth in home runs in MLB, and seventh in RBI.
• Soto carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a home run, three walks and four RBI.
• Jazz Chisholm is hitting .254 with 20 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 53 walks.
• Chisholm will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, a walk and three RBI.
• Anthony Volpe is hitting .244 with 27 doubles, seven triples, 12 home runs and 40 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 4-6.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
• The Pirates have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates in home runs (24), runs batted in (88) and has put up a team-best batting average of .276.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Reynolds' home run total is 42nd and his RBI tally ranks 27th.
• Cruz is batting .262 with 34 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 49 walks.
• Cruz ranks 63rd in home runs and 50th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .232 with 18 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 58 walks.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 18 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 16 walks while hitting .272.

Pirates Team Props

Pirates vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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