Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 10:01 a.m. ET

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Juan Soto and the New York Yankees take the field against Oneil Cruz and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday at 1:05 p.m. ET, in the second of a three-game series at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees have been listed as -133 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Pirates (+113). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The contest's over/under has been set at 7 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Pirates vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 1:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 58%, Pirates 42%

Yankees vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Yankees have won 73, or 57%, of the 128 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has a record of 57-40 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -133 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.1% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 96 games this year and have walked away with the win 39 times (40.6%) in those games.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 25 times in 61 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 46.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Sat 5:05 PM

MLBN

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

+110

O 7

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-130

U 7

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 6-3 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Yankees have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge's 58 homers and 144 RBI both lead the Yankees, on top of his team-high .325 average.
• Judge is first in homers and first in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Judge brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .533 with a double, five home runs, seven walks and eight RBI.
• Soto is hitting .288 with 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 127 walks.
• Soto is fourth in home runs and seventh in RBI in the major leagues.
• Soto carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a home run, three walks and four RBI.
• Jazz Chisholm is batting .254 with 20 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 53 walks.
• Chisholm is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a double, a walk and three RBI.
• Anthony Volpe is batting .244 with 27 doubles, seven triples, 12 home runs and 40 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 4-6 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Pirates have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with 24 home runs and 88 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .276.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Reynolds' home run total is 42nd and his RBI tally is 27th.
• Cruz is batting .262 with 34 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 49 walks.
• Cruz ranks 63rd overall in home runs and 50th in RBI this year.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .232 with 18 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 58 walks.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .272 with 18 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 16 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Pirates vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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