Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Clarke Schmidt and Bailey Falter will each get the start when the New York Yankees and the Pittsburgh Pirates square off on Sunday at Yankee Stadium, at 3:05 p.m. ET. The Yankees have been listed as -216 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Pirates (+180). New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8.5-run total has been set for this contest.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Pirates vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:05 p.m. ET
Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
How to Watch on TV: YES

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees	-216	+180	8.5	-105	-115	-1.5	-104	-116

Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Pirates 3
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Yankees 59%, Pirates 41%

Yankees vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 129 times this season and won 73, or 56.6%, of those games.
New York has entered 25 games this season favored by -216 or more and is 13-12 in those contests.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 68.4% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
The Pirates have come away with 40 wins in the 97 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Pittsburgh has won all of its five games in which it was named as at least a +180 moneyline underdog.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 35.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and went 5-4 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Yankees' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	14
ERA	3.46
K/9	9.5

Yankees Player Insights

Aaron Judge is the bat to watch in the Yankees lineup, leading the team in batting average (.322), home runs (58), and RBI (144).
Among all batters in baseball, Judge's home run total ranks him first, and his RBI tally puts him first.
Juan Soto is batting .288 with 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 129 walks.
Soto ranks fourth in homers and sixth in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Soto carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a home run, four walks and five RBI.
Jazz Chisholm is hitting .256 with 21 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 53 walks.
Chisholm will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with two doubles, a home run and four RBI.
Anthony Volpe is hitting .244 with 27 doubles, seven triples, 12 home runs and 40 walks.

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Pirates have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.3
HR	15
ERA	4.55
K/9	9.2

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates in home runs (24), runs batted in (88) and has a team-best batting average of .276.
Among all hitters in the majors, Reynolds is 42nd in home runs and 27th in RBI.
Reynolds takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
Oneil Cruz is batting .260 with 34 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 49 walks.
Cruz is 63rd in home runs and 50th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Andrew McCutchen is batting .232 with 18 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 58 walks.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 18 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 16 walks while hitting .269.