Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 11

Updated Jul. 11, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Juan Soto and the New York Yankees will meet Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday at Tropicana Field, at 6:50 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Yankees as -115 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Rays -105 moneyline odds. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's total has been set at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Yankees vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday, July 10.

Yankees vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 6:50 PM ET
• Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Yankees vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Rays 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 53%, Rays 47%

Yankees vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 71 times this season and won 41, or 57.7%, of those games.
• This season New York has won 41 of its 71 games, or 57.7%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• The Rays have come away with 17 wins in the 38 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Tampa Bay has a win-loss record of 15-18 when favored by -105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

NYY 4 · TB 5

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-117

o8

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

+1.5

-104

u8

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees went 1-7 across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Yankees have put together a 2-8-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Not only does Aaron Judge lead the Yankees in hitting with his .307 average, he also is their foremost power hitter with 32 home runs and 83 RBI.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Judge's home run total ranks him first, and his RBI tally ranks him first.
• Judge carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with two walks.
• Soto has 13 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 77 walks while batting .293.
• Soto ranks ninth in homers and eighth in RBI in the bigs.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .242 with 19 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 29 walks.
• Anthony Volpe is hitting .249 with 16 doubles, seven triples, six home runs and 28 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Rays are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Isaac Paredes leads the Rays with 15 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 50.
• Paredes' home run total puts him 34th in MLB, and he ranks 36th in RBI.
• Diaz is batting .269 to lead the lineup.
• Diaz ranks 132nd in home runs and 58th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Randy Arozarena is batting .203 with 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 41 walks.
• Richard Palacios is hitting .247 with eight doubles, four home runs and 31 walks.

Rays Team Props

Yankees vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday, July 10.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays - 07/11/2024