Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Updated Jul. 26, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Juan Soto and Rafael Devers will be among the stars on display when the New York Yankees face the Boston Red Sox on Friday at 7:10 PM ET, at Fenway Park. Bookmakers list the Yankees as -123 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Red Sox +104 moneyline odds to win. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +131 odds). The contest's total is set at 9.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, July 26, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees -123 +104 9.5 -106 -114 -1.5 +131 -156

Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Yankees 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Red Sox 49%

Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have won 44, or 55%, of the 80 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • New York has a record of 38-31 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -123 on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have a 55.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have been victorious in 24, or 51.1%, of the 47 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Boston has a mark of 14-16 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
FINAL
NYY 7 · BOS 9
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Yankees
NYY
Boston Red Sox
BOS

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and went 3-6 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Yankees' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 17
ERA 3.98
K/9 9.4

Yankees Player Insights

  • Soto's .311 average leads the Yankees this year. His resume also includes 26 homers and driven in 72 RBI.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Soto ranks fifth in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and third in slugging.
  • Aaron Judge has shown off his power as he paces his team with 35 home runs and 89 RBI.
  • Judge is first in home runs and first in RBI on the season.
  • Anthony Volpe has 19 doubles, seven triples, seven home runs and 30 walks while hitting .251.
  • Alex Verdugo is hitting .228 with 20 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 32 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Austin Wells 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+135)
Anthony Volpe 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+180)
Juan Soto 0.5 () 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+145)
Alex Verdugo 1.5 () 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+190)
Aaron Judge 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-145) 0.5 (+215) 0.5 (-110)

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Red Sox are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 15
ERA 4.88
K/9 7.7

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Jarren Duran is hitting .292 with 30 doubles, 12 triples, 13 home runs and 37 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .353.
  • Duran is 72nd in home runs and 46th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Duran takes a hitting streak of eight games into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .405 with five doubles, two triples, three home runs, four walks and 10 RBI.
  • Devers proven to be a run producer as he leads his team with 23 home runs and 63 runs batted in, with a team-high .293 batting average.
  • Devers ranks ninth overall in home runs and 20th in RBI this season.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .251 with 16 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 12 walks.
  • Tyler O'Neill has 13 doubles, 20 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .267.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jarren Duran 0.5 () 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+235)
Rob Refsnyder 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+195)
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+175)
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+290) 0.5 (+140)
Romy Gonzalez 0.5 (-180) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+195)

Juan Soto CRUSHES a solo homer to give Yankees a 2-1 lead over Mets | MLB on FOX

Juan Soto hit a solo home run that gave the New York Yankees a 2-1 lead over the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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