Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Updated Jul. 28, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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The Boston Red Sox and Jarren Duran hit the field in the final game of a three-game series against Juan Soto and the New York Yankees on Sunday at Fenway Park. Oddsmakers list the Yankees as -114 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Red Sox -105 moneyline odds. New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 9 runs for this contest.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Yankees 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Red Sox 49%

Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Yankees have won 44, or 54.3%, of the 81 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season New York has won 44 of its 81 games, or 54.3%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 53.3%.
• The Red Sox have been victorious in 25, or 52.1%, of the 48 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Boston has been victorious 21 times in 40 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

NYY 8 · BOS 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Yankees

NYY

+1.5

-116

O 9

Boston Red Sox

BOS

-1.5

-104

U 9

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 2-6 record over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
• The Yankees have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge is the bat to watch in the Yankees lineup, leading the team in batting average (.314), home runs (37), and RBI (95).
• In all of the majors, Judge ranks first in home runs and first in RBI.
• Judge has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with a double, two home runs, seven walks and six RBI.
• Soto has 20 doubles, four triples, 27 home runs and 84 walks while hitting .309.
• Soto ranks sixth in homers and fifth in RBI on the year.
• Anthony Volpe is batting .252 with 19 doubles, seven triples, eight home runs and 30 walks.
• Volpe is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .304 with two home runs and two RBI.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .235 with 21 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 32 walks.
• Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .368 with two doubles, two walks and two RBI.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Red Sox are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Duran is hitting .293 with 31 doubles, 12 triples, 13 home runs and 38 walks.
• Duran's home run total places him 77th in the majors, and he ranks 49th in RBI.
• Duran carries a 10-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .444 with six doubles, two triples, three home runs, four walks and 11 RBI.
• Rafael Devers proven to be a run producer as he paces his team with 23 home runs and 64 RBI, with a team-best .294 batting average.
• Devers ranks 10th overall in home runs and 21st in RBI this season.
• Tyler O'Neill is hitting .275 with 15 doubles, 22 home runs and 36 walks.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has 16 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 12 walks while hitting .251.

Red Sox Team Props

Yankees vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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