Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 5

Updated Jul. 5, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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The New York Yankees and Juan Soto will hit the field against the Boston Red Sox and Jarren Duran on Friday at 7:05 PM ET, in the first game of a three-game series at Yankee Stadium. The favored Yankees have -141 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Red Sox, who are listed at +120. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +143 odds). The game's over/under has been set at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 7:05 PM ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 55%, Red Sox 45%

Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 67 times this season and won 40, or 59.7%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 23-16 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -141 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 58.5% chance to win.
• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 40 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (55%) in those games.
• Boston has a mark of 7-10 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +120 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 45.5% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL (10)

BOS 5 · NYY 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

+120

O 8

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-141

U 8

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• In the last 10 games, the Yankees were the moneyline favorite eight times, but they lost every matchup.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Yankees combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total eight times.
• The Yankees have gone 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge has racked up a team-high batting average of .314, while pacing the Yankees in home runs (32) and runs batted in (83).
• In all of MLB, Judge is first in homers and first in RBI.
• Soto is hitting .300 with 12 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 75 walks.
• Soto ranks seventh in home runs and sixth in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Soto heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with two home runs, seven walks and six RBI.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .248 with 19 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 28 walks.
• Verdugo is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with three doubles and a walk.
• Anthony Volpe is hitting .253 with 15 doubles, seven triples, six home runs and 26 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Red Sox have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Red Sox and their opponents are 8-2-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Duran is batting .283 with 23 doubles, 10 triples, 10 home runs and 32 walks.
• In all of MLB, Duran is 86th in home runs and 64th in RBI.
• Duran has collected a hit in six straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .304 with two doubles, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.
• Rafael Devers proven to be a run producer as he leads his team with 18 home runs and 51 runs batted in, with a team-high .288 batting average.
• Devers ranks 14th in home runs and 25th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Tyler O'Neill is batting .269 with 11 doubles, 16 home runs and 32 walks.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .243 with 14 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 11 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Reds vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cincinnati Reds and the New York Yankees on Wednesday, July 3.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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