Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 16

Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 16

Updated Jun. 16, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

A couple of hot hitters, Aaron Judge and Jarren Duran, will be on display when the New York Yankees face the Boston Red Sox on Sunday at 7:10 PM ET, at Fenway Park. Oddsmakers list the Yankees as -139 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Red Sox +119 moneyline odds. New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The game's over/under is set at 9 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Yankees slugger Juan Soto's long drive JUST gets over the Monster for a home run against the Red Sox

New York Yankees slugger Juan Soto's long drive JUST got over the Monster for a home run against the Boston Red Sox.
ADVERTISEMENT

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, June 16, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees -139 +119 9 -116 -104 -1.5 +106 -127

Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Red Sox 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Yankees 52%, Red Sox 48%

Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have been favored 54 times and won 38, or 70.4%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 22-10, a 68.8% win rate, when favored by -139 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 58.2% chance to win.
  • The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (50%) in those games.
  • Boston has a mark of 5-10 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +119 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
FINAL
NYY 3 · BOS 9
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Yankees
NYY
Boston Red Sox
BOS

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • The Yankees went 5-3 over the eight games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
  • The Yankees have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 16
ERA 3.99
K/9 7.5

Yankees Player Insights

  • Judge has accumulated a team-high 25 home runs and 63 runs batted in.
  • Judge is first in homers and first in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Judge carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with a double, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
  • Juan Soto is hitting .319 to lead his team.
  • Soto ranks sixth in homers and fifth in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Soto carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run, seven walks and two RBI.
  • Alex Verdugo is hitting .261 with 15 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 22 walks.
  • Anthony Volpe is hitting .267 with 10 doubles, seven triples, six home runs and 23 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Juan Soto 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+275) 0.5 (+140)
Alex Verdugo 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+145)
Anthony Volpe 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+215)
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+195)
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+290) 0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 3-2.
  • The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Red Sox have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 10
ERA 3.94
K/9 9.6

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Duran is hitting .275 with 21 doubles, 10 triples, five home runs and 29 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .345.
  • Duran is 167th in home runs and 76th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Duran takes a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .372 with four doubles, two triples, two home runs, seven walks and seven RBI.
  • Rafael Devers has hit 13 home runs while batting .283. Both high-water marks on his team.
  • Among all major league hitters, Devers is 23rd in home runs and 58th in RBI.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has sent home a team-best 37 runs batted in.
  • Tyler O'Neill has seven doubles, 12 home runs and 24 walks while batting .253.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
David Hamilton 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+160)
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+185)
Enmanuel Valdez 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+160)
Jarren Duran 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-125) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+165)
Rob Refsnyder 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+165)

Red Sox jump out to an early lead with two RBI doubles from Connor Wong and Jamie Westbrook

The Boston Red Sox jump out to an early lead with two RBI doubles from Connor Wong and Jamie Westbrook.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
share