Yankees vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 4

Updated Jul. 4, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

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Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees square off against Elly De La Cruz and the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday at 1:05 PM ET in the final game of a three-game series. The Yankees are listed as -178 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Reds (+149). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +110 odds). The total is 9.5 runs for this matchup (with -105 odds on the over and -115 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Reds vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cincinnati Reds and the New York Yankees on Wednesday, July 3.

Yankees vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:05 PM ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Yankees vs. Reds Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Reds 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 56%, Reds 44%

Yankees vs. Reds Betting Insights

• The Yankees have won 40, or 60.6%, of the 66 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has entered 15 games this season favored by -178 or more and is 9-6 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 64% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• The Reds have been victorious in 20, or 40.8%, of the 49 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win five times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +149 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 40.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

CIN 8 · NYY 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Cincinnati Reds

CIN

+1.5

+152

O 9.5

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-182

U 9.5

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 1-7 record from the eight games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over eight times.
• The Yankees are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Judge leads the Yankees in home runs (32), runs batted in (83) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .318.
• In all of MLB, Judge ranks first in home runs and first in RBI.
• Juan Soto has 12 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 74 walks while hitting .300.
• Soto ranks seventh in homers and sixth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Anthony Volpe has 15 doubles, seven triples, six home runs and 26 walks while batting .256.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .241 with 17 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 28 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Reds have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• De La Cruz paces the Reds with 15 long balls.
• Among all hitters in MLB, De La Cruz's home run total ranks 24th and his RBI tally is 72nd.
• Spencer Steer has collected 51 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Steer is currently 84th in home runs and 22nd in RBI in the big leagues.
• Jonathan India paces the Reds' lineup with a .272 batting average.
• Jeimer Candelario is hitting .240 with 17 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 20 walks.

Reds Team Props

Reds vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cincinnati Reds and the New York Yankees on Wednesday, July 3.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees - 07/04/2024

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