Yankees vs. Royals ALDS Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 5

Updated Oct. 3, 2024 10:01 p.m. ET

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The ALDS begins Saturday at 6:38 p.m. ET when the New York Yankees host the Kansas City Royals live from Yankee Stadium, and airing on Max. The Yankees are listed as -203 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Royals (+169). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +108 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for this game.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Royals vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Kansas City Royals and Washington Nationals game on September 24th, 2024.

Yankees vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 6:38 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to Watch on TV: Max

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 55%, Royals 45%

Yankees vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 130 times and won 74, or 56.9%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 16-12 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -203 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 67% chance to win.
• The Royals have come away with 37 wins in the 83 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Kansas City has been victorious two times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +169 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 37.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Sat 10:38 PM

TBS

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Kansas City Royals

KC

+1.5

+169

O 7.5

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-203

U 7.5

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees were favored on the moneyline in nine of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-4 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Yankees have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Not only does Aaron Judge lead the Yankees in hitting with his .322 average, he also is their foremost power hitter with 58 home runs and 144 RBI.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Judge is first in homers and first in RBI.
• Juan Soto is batting .288 with 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 129 walks.
• Soto is fourth in home runs in MLB, and sixth in RBI.
• Soto heads into this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a home run, four walks and five RBI.
• Jazz Chisholm is batting .256 with 21 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 53 walks.
• Chisholm is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with two doubles, a home run and four RBI.
• Gleyber Torres has 26 doubles, 15 home runs and 65 walks while batting .257.
• Torres is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with three doubles, two walks and an RBI.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 3-2 in those contests.
• The Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Royals have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 32 home runs and 109 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .332.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Witt's home run total is 16th and his RBI tally is sixth.
• Witt brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two walks and three RBI.
• Vinnie Pasquantino is batting .262 with 30 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 40 walks.
• Pasquantino is currently 91st in homers and 19th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Salvador Perez is batting .271 with 28 doubles, 27 home runs and 44 walks.
• Maikel Garcia is hitting .231 with 27 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 42 walks.

Royals Team Props

Royals vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Kansas City Royals and Washington Nationals game on September 24th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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