Yankees vs. Royals ALDS Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 5

Updated Oct. 5, 2024 6:01 p.m. ET

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The ALDS begins on Saturday when the New York Yankees play host to the Kansas City Royals. Action begins at 6:38 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium, and can be watched on Max. Oddsmakers list the Yankees as -200 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Royals +166 moneyline odds to win. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this contest (with -114 odds to go over and -106 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Aaron Judge CRUSHES 57th home run of the season, making it his fourth consecutive game with a homer

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Yankees vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 6:38 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to Watch on TV: Max

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 55%, Royals 45%

Yankees vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 130 times and won 74, or 56.9%, of those games.
• New York is 18-12 this season when entering a game favored by -200 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 66.7%.
• The Royals have been underdogs in 83 games this season and have come away with the win 37 times (44.6%) in those contests.
• Kansas City has a win-loss record of 2-2 when favored by +166 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 37.6% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

KC 5 · NYY 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Kansas City Royals

KC

+1.5

+170

O 7.5

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-206

U 7.5

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees went 5-4 across the nine games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Yankees have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge is the bat to watch in the Yankees lineup, leading the team in batting average (.322), home runs (58), and RBI (144).
• Judge's home runs put him first in MLB, and he is first in RBI.
• Juan Soto has 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 129 walks while batting .288.
• Soto ranks fourth in home runs and sixth in RBI in the major leagues.
• Soto enters this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a home run, four walks and five RBI.
• Jazz Chisholm is hitting .256 with 21 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 53 walks.
• Chisholm has at least one base hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .250 with two doubles, a home run and four RBI.
• Gleyber Torres has 26 doubles, 15 home runs and 65 walks while hitting .257.
• Torres has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with three doubles, two walks and an RBI.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 3-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents are 2-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Royals have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 32 home runs and 109 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .332.
• Witt is 16th in home runs and sixth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Witt carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two walks and three RBI.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has 30 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 40 walks while batting .262.
• Pasquantino is currently 91st in home runs and 19th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Salvador Perez is batting .271 with 28 doubles, 27 home runs and 44 walks.
• Maikel Garcia is batting .231 with 27 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 42 walks.

Royals Team Props

Royals vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Kansas City Royals and Washington Nationals game on September 24th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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