Yankees vs. Royals ALDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9

Yankees vs. Royals ALDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9

Updated Oct. 8, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

The New York Yankees will visit the Kansas City Royals in the third game of the ALDS on Wednesday at 7:08 p.m. ET, live on TBS from Kauffman Stadium. The teams split the first two games of the series and would move within a win of the ALCS with a victory in this matchup. The Yankees are the favorite in this one, at -116, while the underdog Royals have -104 odds to upset. New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The contest's total has been set at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Royals vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the New York Yankees.
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Yankees vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 7:08 p.m. ET
  • Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
  • How to Watch on TV: TBS
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees -116 -104 8 -107 -113 -1.5 +144 -172

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Royals 5, Yankees 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Yankees 52%, Royals 48%

Yankees vs. Royals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have been favored 132 times and won 75, or 56.8%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 72-55 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -116 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • The Royals have been underdogs in 85 games this season and have come away with the win 38 times (44.7%) in those contests.
  • Kansas City has a mark of 32-43 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 51% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Wed 11:08 PM
TBS
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Yankees
NYY
Kansas City Royals
KC

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and they went 5-5 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
  • The Yankees' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 16
ERA 4.30
K/9 9.8

Yankees Player Insights

  • Aaron Judge paces the Yankees with 58 home runs and 144 runs batted in, while putting up a team-high batting average of .322.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Judge is first in homers and first in RBI.
  • Juan Soto is hitting .288 with 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 129 walks.
  • Soto ranks fourth in home runs and sixth in RBI in the majors.
  • Jazz Chisholm is batting .256 with 21 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 53 walks.
  • Chisholm has at least one base hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with two doubles, two home runs and five RBI.
  • Gleyber Torres has 26 doubles, 15 home runs and 65 walks while batting .257.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Anthony Volpe 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+220)
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+125)
Aaron Judge 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+120)
Gleyber Torres 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+210)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Royals had a record of 4-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents are 2-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Royals have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 2.8
HR 5
ERA 1.63
K/9 9.1

Royals Player Insights

  • Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 32 home runs and 109 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .332.
  • In all of MLB, Witt ranks 16th in home runs and sixth in RBI.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has 30 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 40 walks while batting .262.
  • Pasquantino ranks 91st overall in home runs and 19th in RBI this year.
  • Salvador Perez is batting .271 with 28 doubles, 27 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Maikel Garcia is hitting .231 with 27 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 42 walks.

Royals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Michael Massey 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+190)
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+160)
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+150)
Salvador Pérez 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+150)
Maikel Garcia 0.5 (-180) 0.5 (-180) - 0.5 (+235)

Royals vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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