Yankees vs. Royals ALDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9

Yankees vs. Royals ALDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9

Updated Oct. 9, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The ALDS resumes Wednesday at 7:08 p.m. ET when the New York Yankees visit the Kansas City Royals live on TBS from Kauffman Stadium. Both teams are looking for an all-important win to break the 1-1 tie in the series following the first two games. The Yankees are listed as -118 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Royals (-102). New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The game's total is set at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Royals vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the New York Yankees.
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Yankees vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 7:08 p.m. ET
  • Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
  • How to Watch on TV: TBS
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees -118 -102 8 -111 -109 -1.5 +142 -169

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Royals 5, Yankees 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Yankees 52%, Royals 48%

Yankees vs. Royals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have won 75 out of the 132 games, or 56.8%, in which they've been favored.
  • New York has a record of 70-54, a 56.5% win rate, when favored by -118 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 54.1% chance to win.
  • The Royals have come away with 38 wins in the 85 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Kansas City has a mark of 32-41 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 50.5% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL
NYY 3 · KC 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Yankees
NYY
Kansas City Royals
KC

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and went 5-5 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Yankees have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 16
ERA 4.30
K/9 9.8

Yankees Player Insights

  • Aaron Judge's 58 home runs and 144 RBI both lead the Yankees, in addition to his team-high .322 average.
  • Judge ranks first in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Juan Soto is hitting .288 with 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 129 walks.
  • Soto ranks fourth in homers and sixth in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Jazz Chisholm is hitting .256 with 21 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 53 walks.
  • Chisholm is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .350 with two doubles, two home runs and five RBI.
  • Gleyber Torres is batting .257 with 26 doubles, 15 home runs and 65 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Anthony Volpe 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+210)
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+125)
Aaron Judge 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+120)
Gleyber Torres 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+210)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Royals have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
  • The Royals have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 2.8
HR 5
ERA 1.63
K/9 9.1

Royals Player Insights

  • Bobby Witt Jr. leads the squad with a batting average of .332, while pacing the Royals in home runs, with 32 and runs batted in with 109.
  • Witt is 16th in homers and sixth in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino is batting .262 with 30 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Pasquantino ranks 91st in home runs and 19th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Salvador Perez is hitting .271 with 28 doubles, 27 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Maikel Garcia is batting .231 with 27 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 42 walks.

Royals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Michael Massey 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+200)
Salvador Pérez 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+150)
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+165)
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+155)
Maikel Garcia 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-190) - 0.5 (+270)

Royals vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Kansas City Royals
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