Yankees vs. Royals ALDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 10

Updated Oct. 10, 2024 8:01 p.m. ET

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The New York Yankees will visit the Kansas City Royals in the fourth game of the ALDS on Thursday at 8:08 p.m. ET, live on Max from Kauffman Stadium. The Royals hope to force a Game 5 as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 2-1. The Yankees are favored in this one, at -154, while the underdog Royals have +130 odds to upset. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the matchup.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Royals vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, October 10, 2024 at 8:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to Watch on TV: Max

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Royals 5, Yankees 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Royals 49%

Yankees vs. Royals Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 133 times this season and won 76, or 57.1%, of those games.
• New York is 45-29 this season when entering a game favored by -154 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• The Royals have come away with 38 wins in the 86 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Kansas City has won eight of 26 games when listed as at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

NYY 3 · KC 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-154

O 8

Kansas City Royals

KC

+1.5

+129

U 8

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and they went 5-5 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Yankees have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge paces the Yankees with 58 home runs and 144 runs batted in, while racking up a team-best batting average of .322.
• In all of MLB, Judge ranks first in homers and first in RBI.
• Juan Soto is hitting .288 with 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 129 walks.
• Soto ranks fourth in homers and sixth in RBI in the majors.
• Jazz Chisholm has 21 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .256.
• Gleyber Torres is hitting .257 with 26 doubles, 15 home runs and 65 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents are 2-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Royals have nine wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. leads the squad with a batting average of .332, while leading the Royals in home runs, with 32 and runs batted in with 109.
• Witt's home run total places him 16th in the majors, and he ranks sixth in RBI.
• Vinnie Pasquantino is hitting .262 with 30 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 40 walks.
• Pasquantino is currently 91st in homers and 19th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Salvador Perez has 28 doubles, 27 home runs and 44 walks while batting .271.
• Maikel Garcia is hitting .231 with 27 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 42 walks.

Royals Team Props

Royals vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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