Yankees vs. Royals ALDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 10

Updated Oct. 10, 2024 4:01 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The New York Yankees will visit the Kansas City Royals in the fourth game of the ALDS on Thursday at 8:08 p.m. ET, live on Max from Kauffman Stadium. The Royals hope to force a Game 5 as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 2-1. The Yankees are favored in this one, at -155, while the underdog Royals have +130 odds to win. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +108 odds). The over/under for the game has been listed at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Giancarlo Stanton crushes a game-winning solo home run in Yankees' 3-2 win over Royals

The New York Yankees defeated the Kansas City Royals 3-2 after Giancarlo Stanton's game-winning home run in the eighth inning.

Yankees vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, October 10, 2024 at 8:08 p.m. ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: Max

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees	-155	+130	7.5	-117	-104	-1.5	+108	-129

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Royals 5, Yankees 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Royals 49%

Yankees vs. Royals Betting Insights

This season, the Yankees have been favored 133 times and won 76, or 57.1%, of those games.
New York has a record of 44-29, a 60.3% win rate, when favored by -155 or more by bookmakers this season.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.8% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 86 games this year and have walked away with the win 38 times (44.2%) in those games.
This season, Kansas City has been victorious eight times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 43.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees went 5-5 over the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Yankees have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.0
HR	14
ERA	4.50
K/9	9.5

Yankees Player Insights

Not only does Aaron Judge lead the Yankees in hitting with his .322 average, he also is their premier power option with 58 home runs and 144 RBI.
Of all hitters in the majors, Judge ranks first in home runs and first in RBI.
Juan Soto is hitting .288 with 31 doubles, four triples, 41 home runs and 129 walks.
Among all major league hitters, Soto ranks fourth in home runs and sixth in RBI.
Jazz Chisholm has 21 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .256.
Gleyber Torres is hitting .257 with 26 doubles, 15 home runs and 65 walks.

Yankees Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Austin Wells	0.5 (-210)	1.5 (+140)	-	0.5 (+130)
Anthony Volpe	0.5 (-220)	1.5 (+155)	-	0.5 (+225)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-245)	1.5 (+115)	-	0.5 (+170)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.5 (-195)	1.5 (+130)	-	0.5 (+125)
Aaron Judge	0.5 (-240)	1.5 (+105)	-	0.5 (+115)

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

In eight games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Royals had a record of 4-4.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
The Royals have nine wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	2.9
HR	5
ERA	1.96
K/9	8.8

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. leads the squad with a batting average of .332, while leading the Royals in home runs, with 32 and runs batted in with 109.
In all of the big leagues, Witt ranks 16th in homers and sixth in RBI.
Vinnie Pasquantino is hitting .262 with 30 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 40 walks.
Pasquantino ranks 91st in home runs and 19th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Salvador Perez is batting .271 with 28 doubles, 27 home runs and 44 walks.
Maikel Garcia is hitting .231 with 27 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 42 walks.