Yankees vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21

Updated Jul. 21, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Alec Marsh takes the mound for the Kansas City Royals on Friday at Yankee Stadium against Gleyber Torres and the New York Yankees. First pitch is at 7:05 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Yankees as -203 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Royals +170 moneyline odds to win. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at -104 odds). The over/under for the matchup has been set at 8.5 runs.

The New York Yankees will hand the ball to Clarke Schmidt (5-6, 4.31 ERA), who is looking for win No. 6 on the season, and the Royals will turn to Marsh (0-3, 5.40 ERA).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Yankees vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 21, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
How to Watch on TV: YES

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees	-203	+170	8.5	-116	-104	-1.5	-104	-117

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Royals 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Yankees 59%, Royals 41%

Yankees vs. Royals Betting Insights

This season, the Yankees have been favored 64 times and won 36, or 56.2%, of those games.
New York is 3-1 this season when entering a game favored by -203 or more on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 67%.
The Royals have been victorious in 25, or 29.8%, of the 84 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Kansas City has come away with a win eight times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +170 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 37% chance of walking away with the win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and finished 2-6 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Yankees are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	3.3
HR	10
ERA	5.70
K/9	9.3

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Yankees Player Insights

The Yankees best hitter so far this season is Torres, who's hitting at a team-leading .263 clip along with 14 homers and 39 RBI.
In all of MLB, Torres ranks 60th in home runs and 109th in RBI.
Torres carries a 10-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is batting .395 with a triple, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
Anthony Rizzo is batting .247 with 13 doubles, 11 home runs and 34 walks.
Rizzo is 105th in homers and 109th in RBI on the season.
Anthony Volpe is hitting .207 with 10 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
DJ LeMahieu is batting .231 with 15 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 25 walks.

Yankees Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+160)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+210)
Oswald Peraza	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+230)
DJ LeMahieu	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+215)
Gleyber Torres	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+165)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+275)	0.5 (+130)

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 3-7 in those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
The Royals have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.6
HR	6
ERA	4.70
K/9	7

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 16 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 51.
Among all hitters in MLB, Witt Jr. is 39th in homers and 49th in RBI.
Salvador Perez is batting .252 to lead the lineup.
Perez is currently 45th in home runs and 104th in RBI in the major leagues.
Edward Olivares is hitting .249 with 13 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 13 walks.
Maikel Garcia is batting .275 with 12 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 20 walks.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Salvador Pérez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+140)
Maikel Garcia	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+250)
MJ Melendez	0.5 (-179)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+165)
Edward Olivares	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+225)
Michael Massey	0.5 (-179)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+215)

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