Yankees vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23

Updated Jul. 23, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

Salvador Perez and the Kansas City Royals will hit the field on Sunday at Yankee Stadium against Luis Severino, who is starting for the New York Yankees. First pitch is set for 1:35 PM ET for the final game of a three-game series. The Royals are +166 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Yankees (-198). New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at -102 odds). The total for the game has been set at 9 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the New York Yankees looking to Severino (1-4), and Jordan Lyles (1-11) taking the ball for the Kansas City Royals.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Yankees vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, July 23, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
  • Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: YES
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees -198 +166 9 -114 -106 -1.5 -102 -118

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Royals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Yankees 58%, Royals 42%

Yankees vs. Royals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have been favored 66 times and won 38, or 57.6%, of those games.
  • This season New York has won five of its seven games when favored by at least -198 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 66.4% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • The Royals have been victorious in 25, or 29.1%, of the 86 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Kansas City has won nine of 30 games when listed as at least +166 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 37.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-5 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
  • The Yankees' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 15
ERA 4.58
K/9 9.9

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Yankees Player Insights

  • Gleyber Torres has racked up a team-high batting average of .264 and leads the Yankees in runs batted in (41).
  • Torres' home runs rank him 52nd in the majors, and he ranks 99th in RBI.
  • Torres carries a 12-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .405 with a triple, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
  • Anthony Rizzo has 13 doubles, 11 home runs and 34 walks while batting .244.
  • Rizzo is 110th in home runs and 115th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Anthony Volpe is batting .210 with 11 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Volpe is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .235 with a double.
  • DJ LeMahieu is hitting .232 with 15 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 26 walks.
  • LeMahieu takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a home run, a walk and an RBI.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Harrison Bader 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+170)
DJ LeMahieu 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+190)
Gleyber Torres 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+175)
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+250) 0.5 (+130)
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 3-7.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
  • The Royals have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 8
ERA 4.40
K/9 7.8

Royals Player Insights

  • Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals in home runs (16), runs batted in (51) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .250.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Witt Jr. ranks 43rd in home runs and 55th in RBI.
  • Perez is hitting .246 with 15 doubles, 15 home runs and 12 walks.
  • Perez is 52nd in homers and 109th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Edward Olivares is batting .250 with 13 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 14 walks.
  • Maikel Garcia is batting .277 with 13 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 20 walks.

Royals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
MJ Melendez 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+265) 0.5 (+125)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+165)
Maikel Garcia 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+220)
Edward Olivares 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+215)
Salvador Pérez 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+130)

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