Yankees vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 7:07 p.m. ET

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The Kansas City Royals and Bobby Witt Jr. take the field at Kauffman Stadium against Austin Wells and the New York Yankees on Friday. The Royals have been listed as +125 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Yankees (-148). New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +107 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for this game.

The New York Yankees will hand the ball to Carlos Rodon (3-7, 5.74 ERA), who is looking for win No. 4 on the season, and the Royals will turn to Jordan Lyles (5-17, 6.08 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Yankees vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Royals 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Royals 49%

Yankees vs. Royals Betting Insights

• The Yankees have won 51, or 54.3%, of the 94 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has a record of 29-14, a 67.4% win rate, when favored by -148 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Yankees have a 59.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Royals have been underdogs in 135 games this season and have come away with the win 46 times (34.1%) in those contests.
• Kansas City has a win-loss record of 38-69 when favored by +125 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 1-2 record from the three games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
• The Yankees have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Gleyber Torres' .270 average leads the Yankees this year. His resume also includes 25 homers and driven in 66 RBI.
• Among all MLB hitters, Torres is 43rd in batting average, 43rd in on-base percentage, and 62nd in slugging.
• Aaron Judge has hit 37 home runs with 75 RBI. Both are team-highs.
• Anthony Volpe is batting .207 with 23 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 52 walks.
• Volpe is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .167 with two doubles and two walks.
• DJ LeMahieu is hitting .241 with 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 58 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won seven of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Royals are 7-3-0 against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 29 home runs and 93 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .273.
• Among all batters in MLB, Witt Jr. ranks 28th in homers and 33rd in RBI.
• Salvador Perez has 20 doubles, 22 home runs and 18 walks while batting .252.
• Perez ranks 68th in homers and 68th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• MJ Melendez is batting .232 with 29 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 61 walks.
• Maikel Garcia paces the Royals with a .273 batting average.

Royals Team Props

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