Yankees vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 30, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Austin Wells and the New York Yankees will play Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday. The Royals have been listed as +115 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Yankees (-136). New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The game's over/under is listed at 9.5 runs.

The starting pitchers are Clarke Schmidt (9-9) for the New York Yankees, and Steven Cruz for the Kansas City Royals.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Yankees vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
  • How to Watch on TV: BSKC
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees -136 +115 9.5 -103 -117 -1.5 +118 -140

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Royals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Royals 49%

Yankees vs. Royals Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 95 times this season and won 51, or 53.7%, of those games.
  • This season New York has won 37 of its 60 games, or 61.7%, when favored by at least -136 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 57.6% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • The Royals have been underdogs in 136 games this season and have come away with the win 47 times (34.6%) in those contests.
  • This year, Kansas City has won 42 of 120 games when listed as at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in three of their last 10 games, and they went 1-2 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
  • The Yankees have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 11
ERA 4.30
K/9 7.8

Yankees Player Insights

  • The Yankees best hitter so far this season is Gleyber Torres, who's hitting at a team-leading .272 rate along with 25 homers and 66 RBI.
  • Torres ranks 44th in homers and 102nd in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Aaron Judge has hit 37 home runs with 75 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
  • Anthony Volpe has 23 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 52 walks while hitting .207.
  • Volpe has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .158 with a double and a walk.
  • DJ LeMahieu is hitting .241 with 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 58 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Oswaldo Cabrera 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+185)
Oswald Peraza 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+130)
DJ LeMahieu 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+180)
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+125)
Aaron Judge 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+165) 0.5 (+100)

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Royals had a record of 7-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
  • The Royals have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 10
ERA 4.76
K/9 7.9

Royals Player Insights

  • Witt Jr. leads the Royals in home runs (30), runs batted in (96) and has recorded a team-high batting average of .275.
  • In all of MLB, Witt Jr. is 25th in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
  • Salvador Perez is hitting .256 with 21 doubles, 22 home runs and 19 walks.
  • Perez is 70th in homers and 60th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Maikel Garcia paces the Royals' lineup with a .275 batting average.
  • MJ Melendez is hitting .232 with 29 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 61 walks.

Royals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+155)
Michael Massey 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+200)
Edward Olivares 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+180)
MJ Melendez 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+155)
Maikel Garcia 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+245)
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