Celtics vs. Heat Game 4 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 29

Updated Apr. 29, 2024 3:23 p.m. ET

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The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat are battling in the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 4 up next. The Celtics are currently solid 10-point favorites against the Heat. The matchup's point total is 204.

Check out everything you need to know about the Celtics-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, April 29, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: TNT, BSSUN, and NBCS-BOS

Celtics vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 10)
O/U Pick: Over (204)
Score Prediction: Celtics 116 - Heat 108

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Insights

• Out of 82 games so far this year, the Celtics have played 76 with over 204 points scored, their current matchup's total.
• A total of 65 Heat games this season (out of 82) have gone over 204 total points scored.
• These teams average 230.7 points per game combined, 26.7 more than the over/under of 204.
• The Celtics and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 13.6 more points per game than the over/under of 204 set in this outing.
• Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 78 games this year and has walked away with the win 62 times (79.5%) in those games.
• Miami has been chosen as underdogs in 35 games this year and has walked away with the win 11 times (31.4%) in those games.
• Boston has a 5-1 record in the last six head-to-head matchups against Miami.
• Both the Celtics and the Heat are 3-3 against the spread in those contests.

FINAL

BOS 102 · MIA 88

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Boston Celtics

BOS

-10.5

-526

O 205.5

Miami Heat

MIA

+10.5

+398

U 205.5

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Boston has averaged a total of 218.8 combined points in its last 10 games, 14.8 greater than this game's over/under of 204.
• Against the spread, the Celtics are 42-36-4 this season.
• So far this season, Boston has been installed as favorites by a 10-point margin or more 31 times and are 17-13-1 ATS in those contests.
• Celtics games this year have eclipsed the over/under 52.4% of the time (43 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Celtics put up 120.6 points per game, 12.2 more points than the 108.4 the Heat give up.
• When Boston totals more than 108.4 points, it is 40-25-3 against the spread and 58-10 overall.
• The Celtics make 48.7% of their shots from the field this season, which is two percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed to their opponents (46.7%).
• The Celtics have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (23-17-1) than they have in road affairs (19-19-3).
• In terms of point totals, Boston hits the over more often when playing at home, as it has exceeded the total 22 times in 41 opportunities this season (53.7%). In road games, it has hit the over 21 times in 41 opportunities (51.2%).
• The Celtics have won a higher percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 37-4 (.902). On the road as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 25-12 (.676).

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jayson Tatum averages 26.9 points, 8.1 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 0.6 blocks.
• Jaylen Brown posts 23 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game, shooting 49.9% from the floor and 35.4% from downtown with 2.1 made treys per contest.
• Derrick White puts up 15.2 points, 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists per game, shooting 46.1% from the field and 39.6% from downtown with 2.7 made 3-pointers per game.
• Kristaps Porzingis averages 20.1 points, 7.2 rebounds and 2 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.9 blocks.
• Jrue Holiday puts up 12.5 points, 5.4 boards and 4.8 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 0.9 steals and 0.8 blocks.

Celtics Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 games.
• Miami and its opponents have combined to score an average of 214.8 combined points in its last 10 games, 10.8 more than the 204 over/under in this matchup.
• The Heat are 41-39-2 against the spread this year.
• Heat games this year have hit the over on 35 of 82 set point totals (42.7%).
• The Heat score only 0.9 more points per game (110.1) than the Celtics give up (109.2).
• Miami is 28-12-1 against the spread and 33-8 overall when it scores more than 109.2 points.
• The Heat are shooting 46.5% from the field, 1.2% higher than the 45.3% the Celtics' opponents have shot this season.
• The Heat's winning percentage against the spread at home is .390 (16-25-0). On the road, it is .610 (25-14-2).
• Miami's games have gone above the over/under more frequently at home (21 times out of 41) than on the road (14 of 41) this season.
• As moneyline favorites, the Heat have won a lower percentage of games at home (22-9) than on the road (13-3).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Bam Adebayo gives the Heat 19.3 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
• The Heat are receiving 11.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Jaime Jaquez this year.
• The Heat are receiving 12.9 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from Duncan Robinson this season.
• Tyler Herro is averaging 20.8 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game. He is sinking 44.1% of his shots from the field and 39.6% from 3-point range, with 3.1 treys per contest.
• Caleb Martin is putting up 10 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game. He is making 43.1% of his shots from the floor and 34.9% from 3-point range, with 1.3 triples per contest.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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