Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 11

Updated May. 11, 2024 3:22 p.m. ET

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The Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder are playing in the second round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 3 up next. The Mavericks are currently slim 2-point favorites against the Thunder. The game's point total is 218.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Mavericks-Thunder game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 3:30 PM ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: ABC

Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (+ 2)
O/U Pick: Over (218)
Score Prediction: Thunder 117 - Mavericks 114

Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Insights

• The Mavericks and their opponent have combined to score over 218 points, the current matchup's total, in 66 of 82 games this season.
• The Thunder have played in 59 games this season (72% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 218 points.
• The Mavericks and the Thunder combine to average 20 more points per game than the total of 218 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 228.3 points per game, 10.3 more than the point total for this game.
• Dallas has come away with 37 wins in the 50 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Oklahoma City has come away with 10 wins in the 21 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• After the last six head-to-head matchups, Oklahoma City has a 4-2 record against Dallas.
• Both the Mavericks and the Thunder have 3-3 records against the spread in those outings.
• The Thunder have covered for four straight games against the spread, and were favored in all of those contests.

FINAL

OKC 101 · DAL 105

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Oklahoma City Thunder

OKC

+2.5

+104

O 218

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

-2.5

-125

U 218

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their last 10 games.
• Dallas' average total over the last 10 games is 21.1 points fewer than the 218 total listed for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Mavericks are 48-34-0 this year.
• Dallas is 28-15 ATS when favored by 2 points or more this season.
• Mavericks games this year have gone over the total in 36 out of 82 opportunities (43.9%).
• The Mavericks average 5.2 more points per game (117.9) than the Thunder give up (112.7).
• Dallas has a 40-13 record against the spread and a 42-11 record overall when putting up more than 112.7 points.
• This season, the Mavericks have a 48.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.6% higher than the 45.5% of shots the Thunder's opponents have made.
• The Mavericks have done a better job covering the spread in road games (27-14-0) than they have in home games (21-20-0).
• In home games, Dallas eclipses the over/under 39% of the time (16 of 41 games). It hits the over more consistently on the road, eclipsing the total in 48.8% of games (20 of 41).
• The Mavericks have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 18-9 (.667). In away games as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 19-4 (.826).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Luka Doncic posts 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals (seventh in NBA) and 0.5 blocks.
• Kyrie Irving averages 25.6 points, 5 rebounds and 5.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• Daniel Gafford averages 11 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 72.5% from the field (first in NBA).
• P.J. Washington puts up 12.9 points, 5.6 boards and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 43.6% from the floor and 32% from downtown with 1.8 made 3-pointers per game.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 14.4 points, 1.8 assists and 3.2 rebounds.

Mavericks Player Props

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their last 10 games.
• Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 218.7 combined points in its last 10 games, 0.7 more than the 218 over/under in this matchup.
• The Thunder have 46 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• Oklahoma City is 10-6-1 ATS when underdogs by 2 points or more this season.
• Thunder games this season have hit the over on 45 of 82 set point totals (54.9%).
• The Thunder average just 4.5 more points per game (120.1) than the Mavericks give up to opponents (115.6).
• Oklahoma City is 39-16 against the spread and 46-9 overall when it scores more than 115.6 points.
• The Thunder are shooting 49.9% from the field, 2.4% higher than the 47.5% the Mavericks' opponents have shot this season.
• In 2023-24 against the spread, the Thunder have a better winning percentage at home (.659, 27-14-0 record) than on the road (.463, 19-21-1).
• Oklahoma City's games have gone above the over/under 51.2% of the time at home (21 of 41), and 58.5% of the time away (24 of 41).
• The Thunder, as moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (30-5) than on the road (17-9) this season.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is putting up 30.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.2 assists per contest. He's also draining 53.5% of his shots from the field and 35.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 triples per game.
• The Thunder are getting 16.5 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Chet Holmgren this season.
• Jalen Williams gets the Thunder 19.1 points, 4 rebounds and 4.5 assists per contest while delivering 1.1 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• The Thunder are getting 12.3 points, 6.4 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game from Josh Giddey this season.
• Luguentz Dort is putting up 10.9 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. He is sinking 43.8% of his shots from the floor and 39.4% from beyond the arc, with 2 triples per game.

Thunder Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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